The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Centro Sportivo Paraibano 22.9%
Draw 28.1%
Serra Branca 49%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.4%
29.9%
30.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.3%
30%
30.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Centro Sportivo Paraibano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Centro Sportivo Paraibano's form might have worsened.
Serra Branca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Serra Branca's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Centro Sportivo Paraibano than the current prediction. (+16.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Centro Sportivo Paraibano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serra Branca than the current prediction. (-18.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Serra Branca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.1%
11.1%
77.8%
Centro Sportivo Paraibano - Serra Branca Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. CSP will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Serra Branca will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Serra Branca: 50.6% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paraibano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paraibano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Serra Branca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Serra Branca have a series of home games.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 1 head-to-head matches CSP won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
Including matches at home between the teams CSP won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
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