Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 8

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne (Mechelen)

Referee: Verbeke B. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN Pro League 2, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza


	KV Mechelen		Cercle Brugge

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	2.9	Watch
	2.25	3.5	3	Watch
	2.35	3.62	3.14
	2.80	2.64	3.04	Watch
	2.27	3.71	2.97	Watch
	2.45	3.55	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.32)	3.44 ↓ (3.9)	2.94 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KV Mechelen
40%

Draw
27.7%

Cercle Brugge
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

24.5%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

24%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Cercle Brugge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cercle Brugge than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	30.8%	23.1%

KV Mechelen - Cercle Brugge Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Mechelen will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Cercle Brugge will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mechelen: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 5.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Miras N. (G) 8. Konate M. 2. Halhal R. 4. Diouf G. 7. Koudou T. 6. Hammar F. (C) 17. Servais M. 23. Zekri M. 19. Mrabti K. 20. Lauberbach L. 14. Raman B.	21. Delanghe M. (G) 6. Agyekum L. 66. Ravych C. 3. Utkus E. 15. Magnee G. 17. Adewumi O. 18. Gerkens P. 28. van der Bruggen H. (C) 37. Diop E. 9. Ngoura S. 10. Diakite O.
Substitutes
38. Antonio B. 11. Bafdili B. 1. De Wolf O. (G) 22. Golic L. 3. Marsa J. 18. Struyf I. 5. Teague R. 9. van Brederode M.	22. Bayo A. 27. De Wilde N. 19. Diaby I. 8. Erick Nunes 4. Gomis D. 5. Kakou E. 11. Minda A. 14. Mpanzu B. 1. Warleson (G)
Coaches
Vanderbiest F.	Cinel O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Gerkens P. 🟨,
22', Agyekum L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zekri M. ↓, Marsa J. ↑,
68', Mrabti K. ↓, Bafdili B. ↑,
68', Raman B. ↓, van Brederode M. ↑,
69', Adewumi O. 🟨,
75', Adewumi O. ↓, Erick Nunes ↑,
75', Koudou T. ↓, Antonio B. ↑,
86', van der Bruggen H. ↓, Diaby I. ↑,
87', Diakite O. ↓, Bayo A. ↑,
90+5', Diouf G. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Mechelen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Mechelen: Kiki (Surgery) Kireev M. (Muscle Injury) Ozdemir H. (Collarbone injury) Salifou D. (Injury) St. Jago T. (Knock)

There will not play in Cercle Brugge: Diakite I. (Broken ankle) Ouattara A. K. (Broken Leg)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:26. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Mechelen won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.7:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KV Mechelen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
12.09.25	Standard Liège - KV Mechelen	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	KV Mechelen - RAAL La Louvière	3:2 ✺
24.08.25	Royal Antwerp - KV Mechelen	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	KV Mechelen - Gent	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Westerlo - KV Mechelen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWLTW
- Cercle Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
14.09.25	Cercle Brugge - Charleroi	2:3 ✺
29.08.25	Cercle Brugge - Sint-Truidense	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Standard Liège - Cercle Brugge	0:3 ✺
17.08.25	Cercle Brugge - Westerlo	4:1 ✺
09.08.25	Club Brugge - Cercle Brugge	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
12.01.25	Cercle Brugge - KV Mechelen	1:0
22.09.24	KV Mechelen - Cercle Brugge	2:0
02.03.24	Cercle Brugge - KV Mechelen	2:3
28.10.23	KV Mechelen - Cercle Brugge	0:2
23.12.22	KV Mechelen - Cercle Brugge	1:1
13.08.22	Cercle Brugge - KV Mechelen	0:0
26.02.22	KV Mechelen - Cercle Brugge	2:2

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