Match Info

Date: 25 July 2020, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Cerezo Osaka U23		Kagoshima United

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.4	1.8
	4.15	3.75	1.7	Watch
	4.2	3.65	1.67
	4.57	4.08	1.68
	4.2	3.75	1.7
	3.92	3.62	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↑ (3.49)	3.71 ↑ (3.27)	1.73 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerezo Osaka U23
22.1%

Draw
24.7%

Kagoshima United
53.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26%

27.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

20.2%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerezo Osaka U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Kagoshima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kagoshima United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka U23 than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kagoshima United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cerezo Osaka U23 - Kagoshima United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerezo Osaka U23
Japan J3 League
19.07.20	Imabari - Cerezo Osaka U23	1:0 ✺
15.07.20	Cerezo Osaka U23 - Gifu	2:0 ✺
11.07.20	Roasso Kumamoto - Cerezo Osaka U23	5:3 ✺
05.07.20	Gamba Osaka U23 - Cerezo Osaka U23	0:0 ✺
27.06.20	Cerezo Osaka U23 - Gainare Tottori	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLTL
- Kagoshima United
Japan J3 League
19.07.20	Gamba Osaka U23 - Kagoshima United	2:4 ✺
15.07.20	Kagoshima United - Gainare Tottori	1:2 ✺
11.07.20	Imabari - Kagoshima United	1:1 ✺
05.07.20	Kagoshima United - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:0 ✺
27.06.20	Roasso Kumamoto - Kagoshima United	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLTWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kagoshima United
Japan J3 League
31.10.26	Kagoshima United - Roasso Kumamoto	✺

Cerezo Osaka U23 - Kagoshima United

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Cerezo Osaka U23 - Kagoshima United Predictions

Form

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