Match Info

Emperors Cup - 1/64-finals

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Arigato Service Dream (Imabari)


	Imabari		Kagoshima United

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	3.7
	1.95	3.1	3.5
	2	3.3	3.75
	2.04	3.4	3.58
	1.97	3.35	3.54	Watch
	2	3.1	3.6
	2.06	3.32	3.64
	2	3.3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.99)	3.23 ↓ (3.25)	3.63 ↓ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Imabari
46.1%

Draw
28.5%

Kagoshima United
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

28.5%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

29.7%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Imabari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Kagoshima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imabari than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Imabari - Kagoshima United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
79', 0 - 1, Nduka C. ⚽,
86', 0 - 2, Kawamura Y. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Imabari won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Imabari may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Imabari is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Imabari won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Imabari won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Imabari
Japan J2 League
17.05.25	Ventforet Kofu - Imabari	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Imabari - JEF United Chiba	0:1 ✺
06.05.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Imabari	0:1 ✺
03.05.25	Imabari - Júbilo Iwata	3:3 ✺
29.04.25	Mito HollyHock - Imabari	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWTT
- Kagoshima United
Japan J3 League
17.05.25	Kagoshima United - Fukushima United	5:0 ✺
06.05.25	Ryūkyū - Kagoshima United	1:2 ✺
03.05.25	Kagoshima United - Nara Club	1:2 ✺
20.04.25	Gainare Tottori - Kagoshima United	0:0 ✺
13.04.25	Kagoshima United - Azul Claro Numazu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
18.11.23	Imabari - Kagoshima United	2:1
11.03.23	Kagoshima United - Imabari	1:1
28.08.22	Kagoshima United - Imabari	3:4
15.05.22	Imabari - Kagoshima United	0:1
13.11.21	Kagoshima United - Imabari	0:3
03.07.21	Imabari - Kagoshima United	1:2
31.10.20	Kagoshima United - Imabari	0:1

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