Match Info

JAPAN: J3 League - Round 1

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Shiranami Stadium (Kagoshima)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Kagoshima United		Kamatamare Sanuki

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.15	2.6
	2.45	3.58	2.66
	2.55	3.34	2.68	Watch
	2.5	3	2.62
	2.47	3.1	2.62	Watch
	2.55	3.15	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (1.67)	3.22 ↓ (3.3)	2.63 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kagoshima United
36.6%

Draw
28.5%

Kamatamare Sanuki
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

27.1%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kagoshima United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kagoshima United's form might have worsened.

Kamatamare Sanuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kamatamare Sanuki's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Kagoshima United - Kamatamare Sanuki Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kagoshima United will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Kamatamare will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Yamauchi K. (G) 44. Aoki Y. 4. Hirose K. 28. Renan 26. Kawashima K. 73. Tanaka T. 6. Watanabe E. 27. Yamaguchi T. 11. Fukuda M. 18. Kawamura K. 9. Rodrigo Angelotti	41. Iida M. (G) 6. Hasegawa H. 99. Tsukegi Y. 55. Fujii Y. 2. Uchida M. 15. Iwamoto K. 96. Yoshida J. 60. Morikawa Y. 90. Goto Y. 8. Mori Y. 22. Ono Y.
Substitutes
7. Chibu K. 8. Fujimura K. 1. Fujishima E. (G) 23. Kojima R. 13. Kondo Y. 92. Nduka C. 29. Okazaki M. 10. Take S. 36. Yonezawa R.	3. Ibayashi A. 1. Imamura Y. (G) 14. Ishikura J. 33. Kawakami S. 10. Kawanishi S. 13. Maekawa T. 30. Niwa S. 35. Sagou S. 24. Ueno A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Morikawa Y. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Yamaguchi T. ⚽, Tanaka T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Mori Y. ↓, Maekawa T. ↑,
62', Ono Y. ↓, Niwa S. ↑,
69', Fukuda M. ↓, Take S. ↑,
71', Uchida M. ↓, Ueno A. ↑,
71', Goto Y. ↓, Kawanishi S. ↑,
82', Hasegawa H. ↓, Ibayashi A. ↑,
85', Aoki Y. 🟨,
85', 1 - 1, Tsukegi Y. ⚽,
89', Kawashima K. ↓, Nduka C. ↑,
90+5', Aoki Y. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kagoshima United won 3.

Kagoshima United will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Kagoshima United won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:9 (average 1.8:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Kagoshima United won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kagoshima United
Club Friendly
21.01.25	Júbilo Iwata - Kagoshima United	1:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
10.11.24	Kagoshima United - Fagiano Okayama	0:0 ✺
03.11.24	Tokushima Vortis - Kagoshima United	1:0 ✺
27.10.24	V-Varen Nagasaki - Kagoshima United	4:1 ✺
19.10.24	Kagoshima United - Ehime	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTLLW
- Kamatamare Sanuki
Japan J3 League
24.11.24	Nagano Parceiro - Kamatamare Sanuki	0:2 ✺
16.11.24	Kamatamare Sanuki - Imabari	0:1 ✺
10.11.24	Kamatamare Sanuki - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:2 ✺
03.11.24	Vanraure Hachinohe - Kamatamare Sanuki	3:3 ✺
26.10.24	Nara Club - Kamatamare Sanuki	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
16.09.23	Kagoshima United - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:1
02.04.23	Kamatamare Sanuki - Kagoshima United	2:0
11.09.22	Kagoshima United - Kamatamare Sanuki	3:2
29.05.22	Kamatamare Sanuki - Kagoshima United	0:4
28.08.21	Kamatamare Sanuki - Kagoshima United	1:2
06.06.21	Kagoshima United - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:2
18.11.20	Kamatamare Sanuki - Kagoshima United	1:2

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