Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 18

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Charrúa (Montevideo)


	Cerrito		Central Español

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.87	2.1
	3.3	2.98	2.12
	3.43	3.05	2.21
	3.02	3.16	2.34	Watch
	3.4	2.88	2.15
	3.32	3.32	2.14
	3.05	3.04	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (3.03)	3.04 ↑ (3.01)	2.19 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerrito
28.1%

Draw
30.1%

Central Español
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

30%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

29.9%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerrito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Central Español has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerrito than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Español than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Cerrito - Central Español Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
69', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Cerrito has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Central Español is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Central Español is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerrito won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Cerrito won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Cerrito - the odds 3.03 are the expected chance of winning is 29.83%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Cerrito
Uruguayan Segunda Division
24.08.25	Cerrito - Tacuarembó	1:1 ✺
20.08.25	Rentistas - Cerrito	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Cerrito - La Luz	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Artigas - Cerrito	2:2 ✺
02.08.25	Cerrito - Colón Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TWWTL
- Central Español
Uruguayan Segunda Division
24.08.25	Colón Montevideo - Central Español	0:0 ✺
19.08.25	Central Español - Deportivo Maldonado	0:2 ✺
15.08.25	Oriental de La Paz - Central Español	2:3 ✺
11.08.25	Central Español - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
06.08.25	Nacional Nueva Helvecia - Central Español	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
09.06.25	Central Español - Cerrito	3:0
20.04.25	Cerrito - Central Español	1:2
09.10.20	Cerrito - Central Español	4:0
13.08.20	Central Español - Cerrito	0:1
24.08.19	Cerrito - Central Español	2:2

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