Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 11

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Complejo Rentistas (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Rentistas		Cerrito

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.85	2.85
	2.43	3.00	2.65
	2.46	3.00	3.02
	2.5	3.02	2.95	Watch
	2.40	2.90	2.95
	2.43	2.86	2.94	Watch
	2.38	2.85	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.32)	2.93 ↓ (3.19)	2.89 ↓ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rentistas
37.5%

Draw
31%

Cerrito
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

29.1%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

28.4%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rentistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Cerrito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rentistas than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerrito than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Rentistas - Cerrito Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rentistas won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Rentistas won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 0.9:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Rentistas won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 0.8:0.6).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Rentistas	21	9	6	6	26:23	3	33
8	Cerrito	21	7	8	6	27:24	3	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Rentistas
Uruguayan Segunda Division
12.07.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Rentistas	1:3 ✺
04.07.26	Rentistas - Paysandú	1:2 ✺
27.06.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Rentistas	1:2 ✺
21.06.26	Rentistas - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	Oriental de La Paz - Rentistas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWWL
- CS Cerrito
Uruguayan Segunda Division
12.07.26	Cerrito - Miramar Misiones	1:0 ✺
05.07.26	Tacuarembó - Cerrito	0:0 ✺
28.06.26	Cerrito - Plaza Colonia	1:0 ✺
21.06.26	La Luz - Cerrito	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	River Plate Montevideo - Cerrito	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
20.08.25	Rentistas - Cerrito	0:1
31.05.25	Cerrito - Rentistas	1:2
27.04.25	Cerrito - Rentistas	1:0
18.08.24	Cerrito - Rentistas	0:2
18.05.24	Rentistas - Cerrito	0:1
13.04.24	Rentistas - Cerrito	1:0
12.11.23	Rentistas - Cerrito	1:1

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