Match Info

Date: 21 September 2020, Monday


	Cerrito		Rocha

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.25	4
	1.8	3.25	4
	1.76	3.35	4.1
	1.79	3.5	4.41
	1.8	3.25	4
	1.79	3.48	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.82)	3.35 (3.35)	4.11 ↑ (3.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerrito
50.8%

Draw
27.1%

Rocha
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

27.1%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

21.3%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerrito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerrito than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cerrito, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rocha than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Cerrito - Rocha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to Primera Division (Apertura) and 6 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division (Play Offs)).

Cerrito is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rocha is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Cerrito is a favorite.

Rocha is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Cerrito
Uruguayan Segunda Division
18.09.20	Albion Montevideo - Cerrito	1:3 ✺
15.09.20	Cerrito - Tacuarembó	3:1 ✺
08.09.20	Cerrito - Sud América	1:1 ✺
05.09.20	Racing Montevideo - Cerrito	3:3 ✺
31.08.20	Cerrito - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWTTW
- Rocha FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
18.09.20	Rocha - Racing Montevideo	1:1 ✺
14.09.20	Juventud de Las Piedras - Rocha	1:1 ✺
07.09.20	Rocha - Villa Teresa	1:2 ✺
04.09.20	Rampla Juniors - Rocha	3:1 ✺
31.08.20	Rocha - Central Español	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TTLLT

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