The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Juventud de Las Piedras 49.8%
Draw 25.2%
Rocha 25%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.9%
27.5%
19.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.8%
22.1%
15.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juventud de Las Piedras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Rocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rocha's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud de Las Piedras than the current prediction. (+16%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juventud de Las Piedras, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rocha than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rocha, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
81.5%
0%
18.5%
Juventud de Las Piedras - Rocha Predictions
Users Predictions:
Juventud de Las Piedras will win
(22 of 27 users predict this - 81.48%). Confidence interval (95%): 66.83% – 96.13%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Play Offs) and 11).
Juventud is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Rocha has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match Juventud is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Juventud won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Juventud won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
Watch
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