Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 22

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Albion Montevideo		Cerrito

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.58	3.5	5.15
	1.61	3.62	5.28
	1.70	3.17	5.80	Watch
	1.59	3.52	5.38
	1.53	3.85	5.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.47)	3.53 ↓ (3.8)	5.46 ↓ (6.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albion Montevideo
57.2%

Draw
26%

Cerrito
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

23.8%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

22.8%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albion Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Cerrito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albion Montevideo than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Albion Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerrito than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Albion Montevideo - Cerrito Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Albion won 1.

Albion has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cerrito's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Cerrito has had a series of home games.

In this match, Albion is a strong favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Albion won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 0.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Albion won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albion Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
21.09.25	Colón Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Albion Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	1:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
10.09.25	Albion Montevideo - Porongos	4:0 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
06.09.25	Oriental de La Paz - Albion Montevideo	0:0 ✺
29.08.25	Albion Montevideo - Uruguay Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWTL
- CS Cerrito
Uruguayan Segunda Division
22.09.25	Cerrito - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	Rampla Juniors - Cerrito	0:0 ✺
06.09.25	Cerrito - Atenas de San Carlos	0:3 ✺
31.08.25	Cerrito - Central Español	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Cerrito - Tacuarembó	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
05.07.25	Cerrito - Albion Montevideo	1:0
10.03.25	Albion Montevideo - Cerrito	2:1
01.10.24	Albion Montevideo - Cerrito	0:3
15.06.24	Cerrito - Albion Montevideo	1:0
14.10.23	Albion Montevideo - Cerrito	1:1
27.05.23	Cerrito - Albion Montevideo	2:1
Uruguayan Primera Division
07.10.22	Cerrito - Albion Montevideo	0:0

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