Match Info

Date: 24 November 2020, Tuesday


	Cerrito		Villa Española

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.75	3.4
	2.2	2.75	3.5
	2.16	2.75	3.55
	2.52	2.71	3.46
	2.2	2.8	3.3
	2.15	3.13	3.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.55)	2.82 ↑ (2.77)	3.42 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerrito
40.8%

Draw
32.5%

Villa Española
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

32.5%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

23.6%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerrito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cerrito's performance.

Villa Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villa Española might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerrito than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cerrito, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Española than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Cerrito - Villa Española Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to Primera Division (Apertura) and 2 in the zone Promotion to Primera Division (Apertura)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Cerrito will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Cerrito won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Cerrito won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Cerrito
Uruguayan Segunda Division
20.11.20	Rocha - Cerrito	1:2 ✺
17.11.20	Cerrito - Albion Montevideo	2:1 ✺
10.11.20	Tacuarembó - Cerrito	1:1 ✺
02.11.20	Sud América - Cerrito	2:1 ✺
30.10.20	Cerrito - Racing Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWTLT
- CSD Villa Española
Uruguayan Segunda Division
20.11.20	Villa Española - Racing Montevideo	0:2 ✺
17.11.20	Juventud de Las Piedras - Villa Española	0:0 ✺
10.11.20	Villa Española - Villa Teresa	3:0 ✺
03.11.20	Rampla Juniors - Villa Española	0:0 ✺
30.10.20	Villa Española - Central Español	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
29.09.20	Villa Española - Cerrito	1:2
16.11.19	Villa Española - Cerrito	0:1
09.11.19	Cerrito - Villa Española	0:2
31.08.19	Villa Española - Cerrito	3:2

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