Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 9

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Charrúa (Montevideo)


	Cerrito		Albion Montevideo

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.2	1.78
	3.4	3.1	2
	3.76	3.26	2
				Watch
	4.2	3	1.85
	3.67	3.14	1.97
	3.65	3.55	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↑ (3.65)	3.21 ↓ (3.55)	1.91 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerrito
23.9%

Draw
28.3%

Albion Montevideo
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

25.6%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

25.2%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerrito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Albion Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerrito than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albion Montevideo than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Cerrito - Albion Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, Millacet F. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerrito won 3.

Cerrito has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Albion is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Cerrito has had a series of away games.

In this match, Albion is a strong favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cerrito won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cerrito won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Cerrito
Uruguayan Segunda Division
29.06.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Cerrito	3:2 ✺
21.06.25	Cerrito - Rampla Juniors	1:0 ✺
15.06.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Cerrito	3:0 ✺
09.06.25	Central Español - Cerrito	3:0 ✺
03.06.25	Tacuarembó - Cerrito	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLLL
- Albion Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
29.06.25	Albion Montevideo - Colón Montevideo	0:2 ✺
22.06.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Albion Montevideo	0:1 ✺
15.06.25	Albion Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	1:0 ✺
08.06.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	0:3 ✺
04.06.25	Artigas - Albion Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
10.03.25	Albion Montevideo - Cerrito	2:1
01.10.24	Albion Montevideo - Cerrito	0:3
15.06.24	Cerrito - Albion Montevideo	1:0
14.10.23	Albion Montevideo - Cerrito	1:1
27.05.23	Cerrito - Albion Montevideo	2:1
Uruguayan Primera Division
07.10.22	Cerrito - Albion Montevideo	0:0
15.05.22	Albion Montevideo - Cerrito	2:2

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