Match Info

Date: 20 November 2020, Friday


	Rocha		Cerrito

	1	X	2
	4.6	3.6	1.62
	5.5	3.5	1.57
	5	3.6	1.58
	5.27	3.69	1.62
	4.8	3.5	1.62
	5.05	3.74	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.04 ↑ (3.83)	3.61 ↑ (3.25)	1.6 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rocha
18.1%

Draw
25.2%

Cerrito
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

27.7%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

17.5%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rocha's form might have worsened.

Cerrito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cerrito's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rocha than the current prediction. (+19.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rocha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerrito than the current prediction. (-25.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cerrito, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rocha - Cerrito Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion to Primera Division (Apertura)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Rocha could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cerrito is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rocha won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rocha FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
16.11.20	Racing Montevideo - Rocha	1:0 ✺
03.11.20	Villa Teresa - Rocha	0:0 ✺
31.10.20	Rocha - Rampla Juniors	1:0 ✺
26.10.20	Central Español - Rocha	3:0 ✺
19.10.20	Rocha - Atenas de San Carlos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTWLT
- CS Cerrito
Uruguayan Segunda Division
17.11.20	Cerrito - Albion Montevideo	2:1 ✺
10.11.20	Tacuarembó - Cerrito	1:1 ✺
02.11.20	Sud América - Cerrito	2:1 ✺
30.10.20	Cerrito - Racing Montevideo	1:1 ✺
26.10.20	Juventud de Las Piedras - Cerrito	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
21.09.20	Cerrito - Rocha	1:3

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