Match Info

Copa Paraguay - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio General Pablo Rojas (Asunción)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	Futbol Paraguayo, Tigo Sports
Usa	Fanatiz


	Cerro Porteño		Rubio Ñu

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.75	5.75
	1.49	4.25	5.60	Watch
	1.47	4.00	6.21
	1.69	3.44	4.85	Watch
	1.44	3.70	6.10
	1.54	4.06	5.73	Watch
	1.49	3.70	5.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (2.14)	3.84 ↑ (3.66)	5.69 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerro Porteño
60.3%

Draw
23.7%

Rubio Ñu
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

26.1%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

26.8%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cerro Porteño's performance.

Rubio Ñu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rubio Ñu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (-16.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cerro Porteño that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubio Ñu than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rubio Ñu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Cerro Porteño - Rubio Ñu Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerro Porteño (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Cerro Porteño will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Morel J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', 2 - 0, Dominguez F. ⚽,
69', 2 - 1, Leiva T. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 3.

Cerro Porteño has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Rubio Ñu has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Cerro Porteño holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Cerro Porteño has recorded 12 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 36:17 (averaging 1.8:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cerro Porteño against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 15:9 goals (averaging 1.5:0.9 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division
26.09.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Cerro Porteño	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Cerro Porteño - Rubio Ñu	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	1:1 ✺
07.09.26	Cerro Porteño - Nacional Asuncion	1:0 ✺
03.09.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Cerro Porteño	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWTWW
- Rubio Ñu
Paraguayan Primera Division
26.09.26	Rubio Ñu - 2 de Mayo	2:2 ✺
19.09.26	Cerro Porteño - Rubio Ñu	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Rubio Ñu - Nacional Asuncion	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Libertad Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	4:2 ✺
01.09.26	Rubio Ñu - Sportivo San Lorenzo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
19.09.26	Cerro Porteño - Rubio Ñu	1:0
24.05.26	Cerro Porteño - Rubio Ñu	2:0
18.03.26	Rubio Ñu - Cerro Porteño	2:0
Copa Paraguay
03.08.22	Rubio Ñu - Cerro Porteño	1:0
Paraguayan Primera Division
18.11.17	Rubio Ñu - Cerro Porteño	0:3
08.09.17	Cerro Porteño - Rubio Ñu	1:0
15.04.17	Cerro Porteño - Rubio Ñu	4:0

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