Match Info

Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Martín Torres (Asunción)

Referee: Lopez D. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Usa	Fanatiz


	Sportivo Trinidense		Cerro Porteño

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.2	Watch
	2.85	3.00	2.30
	3.1	3.1	2.2	Watch
	3.31	3.41	2.26
	3.01	3.16	2.41	Watch
	3.2	3.35	2.19
	3.22	3.12	2.29	Watch
	3	3.05	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.75)	3.15 ↑ (3.1)	2.25 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Trinidense
29.8%

Draw
29.3%

Cerro Porteño
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

29.6%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

29.4%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Trinidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Trinidense than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Sportivo Trinidense - Cerro Porteño Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cerro Porteño will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Samudio V. (G) 23. Benitez C. 40. Da Silveira A. 6. Canete A. 4. Melgarejo D. 5. Gauto N. 10. Mana N. 21. Viera G. (C) 29. Rayer T. 31. Morinigo A. 20. Gonzalez C.	1. Roffo M. (G) 16. Ramirez I. 23. Velazquez G. (C) 14. Quintana Rodriguez L. A. 13. Benitez A. G. 26. Piris R. 5. Morel J. 7. Rodriguez D. 19. Vegetti P. 40. Klimowicz M. 31. Aliseda I.
Substitutes
13. Barone F. 24. Baruja F. 7. Camacho N. 19. Cano Esteche A. B. 30. Cornet R. 1. Dufour M. (G) 9. Gimenez O. 37. Gonzalez L. 14. Mendoza S. 17. Roman J. 34. Roman Torales F. J. 3. Villalba D.	20. Almendra A. E. 21. Araujo S. 32. Bobadilla C. 2. Dominguez F. 18. Gamarra A. 30. Gimenez G. 11. Iturbe J. 12. Martinez A. (G) 6. Merolla L. 15. Riveros B. 39. Servin L. J. 27. Torres J.
Coaches
Arrua J.	Costas G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Vegetti P. ⚽, Aliseda I. (A),
25', 1 - 1, Morinigo A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Benitez A. G. ↓, Riveros B. ↑,
47', Viera G. 🟨,
60', Klimowicz M. ↓, Almendra A. E. ↑,
67', Mana N. ↓, Roman J. ↑,
67', Gonzalez C. ↓, Camacho N. ↑,
67', Gauto N. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
70', Rodriguez D. ↓, Iturbe J. ↑,
70', Morel J. ↓, Gimenez G. ↑,
71', Rayer T. ↓, Cano Esteche A. B. ↑,
72', Morinigo A. 🟨,
77', Ramirez I. 🟨,
80', Aliseda I. ↓, Dominguez F. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Da Silveira A. ⚽,
85', Morinigo A. ↓, Villalba D. ↑,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7th and 8th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Trinidense won 3.

In recent outings, Sportivo Trinidense has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Cerro Porteño is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Cerro Porteño may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Sportivo Trinidense has recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:32 (averaging 1.1:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sportivo Trinidense against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 10:15 goals (averaging 1.1:1.7 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Sportivo Trinidense	13	7	2	4	23:13	10	23
8	Cerro Porteno	13	5	2	6	15:14	1	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Trinidense
Paraguayan Primera Division
18.09.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Sportivo Trinidense	1:3 ✺
06.09.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Olimpia Asuncion	1:2 ✺
02.09.26	Sportivo Ameliano - Sportivo Trinidense	0:3 ✺
29.08.26	Sportivo Trinidense - 2 de Mayo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLWL
- Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division
19.09.26	Cerro Porteño - Rubio Ñu	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	1:1 ✺
07.09.26	Cerro Porteño - Nacional Asuncion	1:0 ✺
03.09.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Cerro Porteño	1:3 ✺
30.08.26	Cerro Porteño - Libertad Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
24.07.26	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Trinidense	1:2
15.05.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Cerro Porteño	3:1
14.03.26	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Trinidense	2:1
09.11.25	Sportivo Trinidense - Cerro Porteño	0:0
24.08.25	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Trinidense	1:3
20.04.25	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Trinidense	1:0
08.02.25	Sportivo Trinidense - Cerro Porteño	1:0

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