Match Info

Super Cup - Final

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Defensores del Chaco (Asunción)


	General Caballero JLM		Cerro Porteño

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.9	3.9	1.5	Watch
	6.54	4.01	1.52
	12.44	6.28	1.21	Watch
	6	3.7	1.44
	6.29	3.78	1.48	Watch
	6.5	4	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.28 ↑ (6.09)	4.28 ↑ (3.83)	1.44 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

General Caballero JLM
12.9%

Draw
22%

Cerro Porteño
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.9%

23.7%

61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.8%

23.5%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

General Caballero JLM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for General Caballero JLM than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (-3%)

General Caballero JLM - Cerro Porteño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Guillen L. (G) 4. Molinas G. 25. Aguilera A. D. 29. Gimenez O. 16. Gonzalez J. 8. Torales S. 14. Rodas A. 28. Franco J. 6. Mareco M. 10. Arce S. (C) 9. Gonzalez C.	1. Martin A. (G) 2. Dominguez F. 23. Velazquez G. (C) 22. Perez M. 15. Riveros B. 31. Aliseda I. 5. Morel J. 30. Gimenez G. 10. Dominguez C. 21. Araujo S. 11. Iturbe J.
Substitutes
22. Arguello V. 18. Armoa J. 5. Caceres L. 30. Diaz E. 24. Espinola G. 27. Fernandez E. 7. Ferreira M. 19. Lopez J. 21. Schabus M. 12. Tales (G) 32. Vega G.	17. Aguayo G. 13. Benitez A. G. 40. De Carvalho M. 37. Espinola D. 25. Fernandez R. (G) 19. Franco C. 33. Gomez R. 26. Piris R. 14. Quintana Rodriguez L. A. 27. Torres J. 18. Valdez B. 20. Viera W.
Coaches
Ovelar H.	Bava J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Morel J. ⚽,
7', Gonzalez J. ↓, Caceres L. ↑,
20', 1 - 1, Caceres L. ⚽, Gimenez O. (A),
24', 1 - 2, Dominguez C. ⚽,
45+3', 2 - 2, Gonzalez C. ⚽, Arce S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Velazquez G. ↓, Quintana Rodriguez L. A. ↑,
46', Franco J. 🟨,
53', 2 - 3, Caceres L. (Own goal),
65', Aguilera A. D. ↓, Armoa J. ↑,
65', Gimenez O. ↓, Diaz E. ↑,
66', 2 - 4, Aliseda I. ⚽, Iturbe J. (A),
70', Arce S. 🟨,
71', 2 - 5, Dominguez C. ⚽, Araujo S. (A),
72', Dominguez C. 🟨,
78', Gimenez G. ↓, Piris R. ↑,
78', Araujo S. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
83', Arce S. ↓, Vega G. ↑,
83', Franco J. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
86', Dominguez C. ↓, Aguayo G. ↑,
89', Aliseda I. ↓, Franco C. ↑,
90+1', Franco C. 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

Neutral location.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, General Caballero won 2.

General Caballero has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cerro Porteño is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cerro Porteño may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cerro Porteño is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, General Caballero won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:31. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, General Caballero won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- General Caballero JLM
Paraguayan Primera Division
27.11.25	Libertad Asuncion - General Caballero JLM	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	General Caballero JLM - Guaraní Asuncion	0:2 ✺
Copa Paraguay
16.11.25	2 de Mayo - General Caballero JLM	0:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
08.11.25	Olimpia Asuncion - General Caballero JLM	1:1 ✺
Copa Paraguay
05.11.25	General Caballero JLM - Nacional Asuncion	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LLWTW
- Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division
30.11.25	Atlético Tembetary - Cerro Porteño	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Cerro Porteño - Libertad Asuncion	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Sportivo Trinidense - Cerro Porteño	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Cerro Porteño - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0 ✺
27.10.25	Nacional Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Paraguay
23.10.25	Cerro Porteño - General Caballero JLM	0:1 penalties
Paraguayan Primera Division
13.09.25	General Caballero JLM - Cerro Porteño	2:1
05.07.25	Cerro Porteño - General Caballero JLM	3:1
16.05.25	Cerro Porteño - General Caballero JLM	2:1
09.03.25	General Caballero JLM - Cerro Porteño	0:1
13.10.24	Cerro Porteño - General Caballero JLM	2:1
08.08.24	General Caballero JLM - Cerro Porteño	2:1

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