Match Info

Serie B - Round 7

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Dino Manuzzi (Cesena) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Perenzoni D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	17:15	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
International	15:15	OneFootball TV


	Cesena		Avellino

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.10	3.10	Watch
	2.30	3.25	3.00
	2.18	3.30	3.25	Watch
	2.45	3.25	3.44
	2.32	3.15	3.18	Watch
	2.40	2.95	3.40
	2.36	3.18	3.18	Watch
	2.29	3.20	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.45)	3.17 ↑ (3.02)	3.21 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 0.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cesena
40.8%

Draw
29.8%

Avellino
29.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.1%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Cesena - Avellino Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cesena will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Avellino will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cesena (votes: 1 - 50%). Avellino (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Siano A. (G) 15. Ciofi A. (C) 6. Ilic M. 4. Gelli J. 7. Frabotta G. 25. Bisoli D. 32. Bohinen E. 16. D'Andrea L. 10. Pagano R. 80. Fiori A. 9. Shpendi C.	50. Martinelli T. (G) 4. Izzo A. 23. Venturi M. 56. Enrici P. 2. Missori F. 20. Palumbo M. 6. Palmiero L. (C) 39. Besaggio M. 27. Moruzzi B. 10. Russo R. 9. Cheddira W.
Substitutes
27. Dalla Vecchia M. 3. David A. 91. Debenedetti A. 14. Druiventak X. 13. Ferretti L. (G) 39. Fontana N. (G) 8. Francesconi M. 18. Guidi M. 23. Magni V. 24. Mangraviti M. 2. Natta M. 26. Piacentini M.	30. Adamo E. 14. Biasci T. 5. Di Bitonto A. 8. Di Maggio L. 77. Di Paolo S. 16. Faticanti G. 99. Favilli A. 7. Pandolfi L. 3. Sala M. 22. Sassi J. (G) 44. Simic L. 24. Sounas D.
Coaches
Diamanti A.	Nesta A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Moruzzi B. 🟨,
45', Diamanti A. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Pagano R. ↓, Guidi M. ↑,
51', 1 - 0, Fiori A. ⚽, Shpendi C. (A),
57', Palmiero L. ↓, Faticanti G. ↑,
57', Palumbo M. ↓, Di Maggio L. ↑,
64', Fiori A. ↓, Debenedetti A. ↑,
65', D'Andrea L. ↓, Mangraviti M. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Izzo A. ⚽,
73', Cheddira W. ↓, Favilli A. ↑,
77', Ilic M. ↓, Piacentini M. ↑,
83', Bohinen E. 🟨,
84', Besaggio M. ↓, Sounas D. ↑,
84', Russo R. ↓, Biasci T. ↑,
84', Bohinen E. ↓, Francesconi M. ↑,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11th and 8th in the Promotion - Serie B Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 2.

In recent outings, Cesena has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Avellino is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Cesena holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Cesena: Caprini M. (Inactive) Klinsmann J. (Neck Injury) Schirone L. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Avellino: Cancellotti T. (Injury) Di Maggio L. (Inactive) Fila D. (Hamstring Injury).

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Cesena has recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:10 (averaging 1.5:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cesena against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 12:3 goals (averaging 2.4:0.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Avellino	9	3	3	3	13:10	3	12
10	Cesena	9	2	5	2	10:13	-3	11

Last Results with these Odds

Cesena - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 38.13%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Cesena
Italian Serie B
10.10.26	Benevento - Cesena	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Juve Stabia - Cesena	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Cesena - Cremonese	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Cesena - Mantova	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Virtus Entella - Cesena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTTTW
- US Avellino
Italian Serie B
09.10.26	Avellino - Sampdoria	4:1 ✺
19.09.26	Ascoli - Avellino	3:1 ✺
13.09.26	Avellino - Palermo	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Modena - Avellino	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Avellino - Vicenza Virtus	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
31.01.26	Avellino - Cesena	3:1
09.11.25	Cesena - Avellino	3:0
10.02.18	Avellino - Cesena	1:1
15.09.17	Cesena - Avellino	3:1
22.04.17	Avellino - Cesena	1:1
26.11.16	Cesena - Avellino	3:0
20.05.16	Avellino - Cesena	1:2

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