Match Info

Serie B - Round 12

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Dino Manuzzi (Cesena)

Referee: Maresca F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Cesena		Avellino

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.7	4.5	Watch
	1.78	3.4	4.45	Watch
	1.82	3.5	5.26
	1.84	3.34	4.15	Watch
	1.81	3.46	4.43	Watch
	1.9	3.3	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.84)	3.45 ↑ (3.34)	4.44 ↑ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cesena
51.8%

Draw
27.2%

Avellino
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

27.6%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

26.5%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	27.3%	0%

Cesena - Avellino Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Cesena will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cesena: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cesena (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Klinsmann J. (G) 15. Ciofi A. (C) 19. Zaro G. 24. Mangraviti M. 11. Ciervo R. 14. Berti T. 4. Castagnetti M. 70. Francesconi M. 99. Frabotta G. 7. Blesa J. 9. Shpendi C.	30. Daffara G. (G) 2. Missori F. 44. Simic L. 53. Fontanarosa A. 23. Cagnano A. 39. Besaggio M. 24. Sounas D. 6. Palmiero L. (C) 14. Biasci T. 17. Crespi V. 94. Insigne R.
Substitutes
17. Adamo E. 16. Amoran P. 6. Arrigoni T. 29. Balde S. 10. Bastoni S. 43. Bertaccini F. 13. Celia R. 40. Ferretti L. (G) 39. Fontana N. (G) 18. Guidi M. 32. Olivieri M. 26. Piacentini M.	29. Cancellotti T. 56. Enrici P. 8. Gyabuaa M. 16. Kumi J. 32. Lescano F. 77. Marson L. (G) 78. Milani A. 20. Palumbo M. 9. Patierno C. 5. Rigione M. 10. Russo R. 7. Tutino G.
Coaches
Mignani M.	Biancolino R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Ciervo R. ⚽, Shpendi C. (A),
29', Francesconi M. 🟨,
30', Simic L. ↓, Rigione M. ↑,
35', Fontanarosa A. 🟨,
45+3', Rigione M. 🟨,
45+5', 2 - 0, Shpendi C. (Pen),
45+8', Patierno C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Crespi V. ↓, Russo R. ↑,
46', Besaggio M. ↓, Tutino G. ↑,
51', 3 - 0, Blesa J. ⚽, Ciervo R. (A),
53', Blesa J. 🟨,
61', Sounas D. 🟨,
62', Insigne R. ↓, Lescano F. ↑,
65', Berti T. ↓, Bastoni S. ↑,
65', Shpendi C. ↓, Olivieri M. ↑,
74', Sounas D. ↓, Kumi J. ↑,
78', Blesa J. ↓, Balde S. ↑,
78', Francesconi M. ↓, Adamo E. ↑,
83', Ciervo R. 🟨,
85', Ciervo R. ↓, Guidi M. ↑,
90+4', Adamo E. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Avellino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cesena is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Cesena: Bisoli D. (Inactive) Magni V. (Inactive) Siano A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Avellino: D'Andrea L. (Knee Injury) De Cristofaro A. (Knee Injury) Favilli A. (Tendon Injury) Patierno C. (Illness)

There are questionable in Avellino: Palumbo M. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Cesena won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 2.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Cesena
Italian Serie B
02.11.25	Bari - Cesena	1:0 ✺
28.10.25	Cesena - Carrarese	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Cesena	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Spezia - Cesena	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Cesena - Reggiana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWWWL
- US Avellino
Italian Serie B
01.11.25	Avellino - Reggiana	4:3 ✺
28.10.25	Pescara - Avellino	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Avellino - Spezia	0:4 ✺
18.10.25	Juve Stabia - Avellino	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Avellino - Mantova	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
10.02.18	Avellino - Cesena	1:1
15.09.17	Cesena - Avellino	3:1
22.04.17	Avellino - Cesena	1:1
26.11.16	Cesena - Avellino	3:0
20.05.16	Avellino - Cesena	1:2
27.12.15	Cesena - Avellino	1:2
03.05.14	Cesena - Avellino	2:0

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