Match Info

Serie B - Round 4

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Dino Manuzzi (Cesena)

Referee: Allegretta C. G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 LIVE Israel
Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
Switzerland	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
Turkey	Sifir
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Cesena		Cremonese

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.3	Watch
	3.00	3.30	2.30
	3.1	3.05	2.25
	3.17	3.35	2.45
	3.07	3.18	2.36	Watch
	3.05	3.25	2.35
	3.03	3.24	2.33	Watch
	3.15	3.15	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↓ (3.27)	3.2 ↑ (3.1)	2.33 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cesena
30.4%

Draw
29.3%

Cremonese
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

30.1%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

29%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Cesena - Cremonese Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Cesena will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Cesena (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cesena (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Siano A. (G) 15. Ciofi A. (C) 6. Ilic M. 4. Gelli J. 24. Mangraviti M. 10. Pagano R. 18. Guidi M. 14. Druiventak X. 25. Bisoli D. 80. Fiori A. 9. Shpendi C.	22. Agazzi F. (G) 38. Vogliacco A. 15. Bianchetti M. (C) 5. Luperto S. 21. Rocchetti Y. 16. Gerli F. 20. Pontisso S. 10. Licina A. 14. Berti T. 27. Vandeputte J. 90. Bonazzoli F.
Substitutes
32. Bohinen E. 27. Dalla Vecchia M. 16. D'Andrea L. 3. David A. 91. Debenedetti A. 39. Fontana N. (G) 7. Frabotta G. 8. Francesconi M. 23. Magni V. 2. Natta M. 26. Piacentini M. 5. Schirone L.	6. Baschirotto F. 18. Collocolo M. 9. De Luca M. 11. Djuric M. 71. Elia S. 13. Fellipe Jack 12. Festa M. (G) 59. Liberali R. (G) 17. Lickunas A. 8. Lottici Tessadri S. 19. Nasti M. 2. Thorsby M.
Coaches
Diamanti A.	Pecchia F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Shpendi C. ⚽, Bisoli D. (A),
39', Fiori A. 🟨,
45+3', Ilic M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', Vandeputte J. ↓, Elia S. ↑,
59', Vogliacco A. ↓, Collocolo M. ↑,
59', Berti T. ↓, Thorsby M. ↑,
59', 2 - 0, Shpendi C. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Druiventak X. ↓, Frabotta G. ↑,
66', Rocchetti Y. ↓, Baschirotto F. ↑,
70', Pontisso S. ↓, De Luca M. ↑,
70', Mangraviti M. ↓, Dalla Vecchia M. ↑,
70', Fiori A. ↓, D'Andrea L. ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Collocolo M. ⚽, Bonazzoli F. (A),
77', Gelli J. 🟨,
80', 2 - 2, Bonazzoli F. ⚽, Luperto S. (A),
80', Frabotta G. 🟨,
87', Guidi M. ↓, Debenedetti A. ↑,
90', Bonazzoli F. 🟨,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Cremonese could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Cesena: Caprini M. (Inactive) Klinsmann J. (Neck Injury) Piacentini M. (Injury)

There will not play in Cremonese: Barbieri T. (Inactive) Fulignati A. (Inactive) Pezzella G. (Inactive) Stuckler D. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Cesena won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Outrights of Italian Serie B for now

Cremonese: 7.11% Cesena: 1.48%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Cesena	5	1	4	0	7:6	1	7
15	Cremonese	5	1	2	2	5:7	-2	5

Last Results with these Odds

Cesena - the odds 3.27 are the expected chance of winning is 28.56%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Cremonese - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.32%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Cesena
Italian Serie B
06.09.26	Cesena - Mantova	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Virtus Entella - Cesena	1:2 ✺
23.08.26	Cesena - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
17.08.26	Sassuolo - Cesena	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.26	Cesena - Vis Pesaro	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWTLW
- US Cremonese
Italian Serie B
06.09.26	Cremonese - Padova	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
01.09.26	Parma - Cremonese	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie B
28.08.26	Cremonese - Modena	0:3 ✺
22.08.26	Empoli - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
17.08.26	Cremonese - Sampdoria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
22.02.25	Cremonese - Cesena	1:2
26.12.24	Cesena - Cremonese	0:1
18.05.18	Cesena - Cremonese	1:0
28.12.17	Cremonese - Cesena	1:0

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