Match Info

Serie B - Round 3

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Dino Manuzzi (Cesena)

Referee: Drigo M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Cesena		Mantova

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.30	2.40	Watch
	2.87	3.30	2.35
	2.70	3.25	2.55	Watch
	3.00	3.40	2.55
	2.81	3.31	2.47	Watch
	2.95	3.30	2.45
	2.81	3.37	2.50	Watch
	2.85	3.35	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.46)	3.32 ↓ (3.34)	2.47 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cesena
33.3%

Draw
28.4%

Mantova
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

28%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

30.4%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cesena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cesena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mantova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Cesena - Mantova Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cesena will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Mantova will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Mantova (1.75) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cesena (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Mantova (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Siano A. (G) 15. Ciofi A. (C) 6. Ilic M. 4. Gelli J. 3. David A. 14. Druiventak X. 25. Bisoli D. 27. Dalla Vecchia M. 10. Pagano R. 80. Fiori A. 9. Shpendi C.	22. Bardi F. (C) 5. Tomasevic B. 29. Cella S. 27. Castellini A. 41. Silva J. 25. Ignacchiti L. 80. Kouda R. 50. Benaissa-Yahia F. 8. Ilie R. 19. Ruocco F. 99. Vlahovic V.
Substitutes
32. Bohinen E. 16. D'Andrea L. 91. Debenedetti A. 13. Ferretti L. (G) 7. Frabotta G. 8. Francesconi M. 18. Guidi M. 23. Magni V. 24. Mangraviti M. 90. Mazzi T. (G) 2. Natta M. 5. Schirone L.	30. Bragantini D. 11. Cajazzo I. 71. Chinetti F. 58. Del Lungo T. 1. Gemello L. (G) 9. Gliozzi E. 18. Keita S. 75. Kospo E. 6. Longonda J. 33. Marai C. 20. Paoletti F. 10. Wieser D.
Coaches
Diamanti A.	Modesto F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Kouda R. 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Ruocco F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Vlahovic V. ↓, Gliozzi E. ↑,
46', David A. ↓, Frabotta G. ↑,
55', Druiventak X. ↓, D'Andrea L. ↑,
58', Ignacchiti L. ↓, Wieser D. ↑,
58', Ilie R. ↓, Bragantini D. ↑,
58', Modesto F. 🟨,
68', Dalla Vecchia M. ↓, Debenedetti A. ↑,
76', Kouda R. ↓, Del Lungo T. ↑,
76', Castellini A. ↓, Paoletti F. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Shpendi C. ⚽, D'Andrea L. (A),
80', Ilic M. ↓, Mangraviti M. ↑,
80', Fiori A. ↓, Guidi M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 3.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Cesena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Mantova has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Cesena: Caprini M. (Inactive) Klinsmann J. (Neck Injury) Piacentini M. (Injury)

There will not play in Mantova: Mensah D. (Injury) Meroni A. (Inactive) Radaelli N. (Injury) Vesentini F. (Injury)

There are questionable in Mantova: Bragantini D. (Inactive) Trimboli S. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Cesena won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).

Outrights of Italian Serie B for now

Mantova: 3.19% Cesena: 1.48%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mantova	5	3	2	0	10:5	5	11
10	Cesena	5	1	4	0	7:6	1	7

Last Results with these Odds

Cesena - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.96%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Cesena
Italian Serie B
29.08.26	Virtus Entella - Cesena	1:2 ✺
23.08.26	Cesena - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
17.08.26	Sassuolo - Cesena	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.26	Cesena - Vis Pesaro	3:0 ✺
01.08.26	Cesena - Fossombrone	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTLWW
- Mantova FC
Coppa Italia
03.09.26	Palermo - Mantova	5:2 ✺
Italian Serie B
30.08.26	Mantova - Empoli	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Carrarese - Mantova	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
16.08.26	Lazio - Mantova	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
06.08.26	Legnago Salus - Mantova	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
17.03.26	Mantova - Cesena	3:0
13.12.25	Cesena - Mantova	3:2
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Mantova - Cesena	1:2
Italian Serie B
01.05.25	Mantova - Cesena	3:0
29.09.24	Cesena - Mantova	4:2
Italian Super Cup Serie C
05.05.24	Mantova - Cesena	1:2
Italian Serie C Group A
08.05.21	Cesena - Mantova	2:1

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