Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 12

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganes)

Referee: Gonzalez Esteban J. A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, LaLiga TV Bar 3, Movistar Plus+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Leganés		Burgos

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.95	3.75	Watch
	2.12	2.98	3.7	Watch
	2.02	3.22	3.95	Watch
	2.18	2.98	4.05	Watch
	2.08	3	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.02)	3.03 ↓ (3.22)	3.85 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Leganés
44.5%

Draw
31.1%

Burgos
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

29.3%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

28.7%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	30%	20%

Leganés - Burgos Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Leganés will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Burgos will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leganés: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Soriano J. (G) 7. Pena R. 6. Aguilar Lopez G. 5. Miquel I. 3. Saenz J. (C) 24. Diawara A. 8. Cisse S. 10. Cruz J. 23. Millan A. 11. Duk 20. Plano O.	13. Cantero A. (G) 2. Lizancos A. 18. Cordoba A. (C) 8. Sierra G. 12. Miguel F. 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 5. Atienza M. 23. Morante I. 21. Cordoba I. 16. Curro 9. Nino F.
Substitutes
21. Campos A. 9. de la Fuente M. 22. Figueredo S. 19. Garcia D. 17. Garcia N. 38. Gueye D. 26. Guirao C. 27. Imigene S. 14. Lopez R. 16. Melero G. 18. Pauwels B. 13. San Roman M. (G)	10. Appin K. 15. Bunuel A. 17. Cantero M. 28. del Cerro S. 33. Exposito M. 31. Garcia F. 20. Gonzalez M. 6. Gonzalez S. 22. Martinez B. 11. Mollejo V. 1. Ruiz J. (G)
Coaches
Lopez P.	Ramis L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 1 - 0, Millan A. ⚽,
8', 1 - 1, Nino F. ⚽,
33', Duk 🟨,
34', Cordoba A. 🟨,
39', Curro 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 2, Atienza M. ⚽, Gonzalez Ballesteros D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cordoba A. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
46', Miquel I. ↓, de la Fuente M. ↑,
61', Cisse S. ↓, Melero G. ↑,
61', Saenz J. 🟨,
72', Millan A. ↓, Pauwels B. ↑,
72', Plano O. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
80', Cordoba I. ↓, Appin K. ↑,
80', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↓, Cantero M. ↑,
81', Lizancos A. 🟨,
86', Nino F. ↓, Mejia M. ↑,
86', Duk ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
90', Curro ↓, Mollejo V. ↑,
90+2', de la Fuente M. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leganés won 2.

Leganés is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Burgos's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Leganés may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Leganés could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Leganés: Franquesa E. (Injury) Marvel (Yellow Cards) Pulido R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Burgos: Chapela I. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Leganés won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Leganés won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Burgos - the odds 3.95 are the expected chance of winning is 23.91%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Leganés
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Azuaga - Leganés	1:4 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
25.10.25	Eibar - Leganés	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Leganés - Málaga	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
13.10.25	Leganés - Levante	3:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
11.10.25	Mirandés - Leganés	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTWTT
- Burgos CF
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Burgos	1:2 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
25.10.25	Burgos - Real Sociedad B	1:0 ✺
20.10.25	Cádiz - Burgos	1:3 ✺
12.10.25	Burgos - Valladolid	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Huesca - Burgos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
22.01.24	Leganés - Burgos	2:0
04.10.23	Burgos - Leganés	1:0
12.05.23	Burgos - Leganés	0:3
18.09.22	Leganés - Burgos	0:0
23.01.22	Burgos - Leganés	4:0
23.08.21	Leganés - Burgos	0:0

Upcoming Matches