Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 25

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube (Ceuta)


	Ceuta		Córdoba

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.5	Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.4
	2.82	3.15	2.42	Watch
	2.9	3.33	2.58
	2.83	3.29	2.53	Watch
	2.8	3	2.5
	2.88	3.27	2.57
	2.5	3.25	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.66)	3.2 ↓ (3.26)	2.52 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceuta
33.6%

Draw
29.2%

Córdoba
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

29%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

29.8%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Córdoba than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.6%	52.9%	29.4%

Ceuta - Córdoba Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Córdoba will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 52.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Córdoba (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -0.25 - Córdoba (2.11) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Ceuta (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Ceuta (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Córdoba (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lopez P. (C) 7. Ahmed A. 4. Caparros A. 15. Gonzalez D. 16. Redruello Nimo C. 19. Jamelli 5. Youness 12. Illescas M. 8. Zalazar K. 9. Fernandez Sanchez M. 22. Kone K.	1. Alvarez I. (G) 21. Albarran C. (C) 15. Sintes X. 4. Alex Martin 5. Bri D. 25. Goti Lopez M. 8. Ruiz I. 30. Requena D. 23. Carracedo C. 18. Fuentes A. 10. Gonzalez J.
Substitutes
17. Almenara G. 26. Bassinga A. 14. Bodiger Y. 24. Cantero Y. 18. de la Fuente K. 31. Dominguez C. 28. Peri (G) 10. Rodriguez C. 2. Sanchez M. 25. Sanchez S. 11. Schor I. 13. Vallejo G. (G)	17. Adilson 16. Alves R. 19. de Almeida D. 14. Guardiola S. 13. Marin C. (G) 11. Medina K. 9. Obolskiy N. 24. Ortiz P. 6. Percan 39. Rajouani A. M. 2. Vilarrasa I.
Coaches
Romero J.	Ania I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
6', 1 - 0, Zalazar K. ⚽, Redruello Nimo C. (A),
9', 1 - 1, Gonzalez J. ⚽, Fuentes A. (A),
12', 2 - 1, Caparros A. ⚽, Illescas M. (A),
23', Youness 🟨,
24', 2 - 2, Carracedo C. (Penalty Awarded),
27', 3 - 2, Jamelli ⚽, Kone K. (A),
31', Requena D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Jamelli 🟨,
65', Bri D. ↓, Percan ↑,
65', Requena D. ↓, Guardiola S. ↑,
68', Illescas M. ↓, Bodiger Y. ↑,
68', Youness ↓, de la Fuente K. ↑,
71', Goti Lopez M. 🟨,
74', Goti Lopez M. ↓, de Almeida D. ↑,
77', Fuentes A. ↓, Adilson ↑,
79', Kone K. 🟨,
81', Kone K. ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,
84', Jamelli ↓, Bassinga A. ↑,
85', Redruello Nimo C. ↓, Cantero Y. ↑,
90', Lopez P. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 10 and 8)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceuta won 0.

Recent performances by Ceuta have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Córdoba is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ceuta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Ceuta: Jamelli (Injury) Matos Jose (Yellow Cards) Sanchez M. (Injury)

There will not play in Córdoba: Albarran C. (Yellow Cards) Alcedo J. (Injury) Alves R. (Injury) Fomeyem F. (Ankle Injury) Medina K. (Injury) Zidane T. (Muscle Injury) del Moral A. (Ribs Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ceuta won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ceuta won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Cordoba	9	3	0	6	14:20	-6	9
21	Ceuta	9	1	2	6	8:20	-12	5

Last Results with these Odds

Ceuta - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 35.51%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Ceuta
Spanish LaLiga2
20.02.26	Ceuta - Granada	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Huesca - Ceuta	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Almería - Ceuta	4:2 ✺
26.01.26	Ceuta - Leonesa	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Ceuta - Valladolid	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLWL
- Córdoba CF
Spanish LaLiga2
21.02.26	Almería - Córdoba	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Córdoba - Leganés	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Córdoba - Valladolid	3:1 ✺
24.01.26	Las Palmas - Córdoba	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Córdoba - Málaga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
02.11.25	Córdoba - Ceuta	2:0
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.02.24	Ceuta - Córdoba	1:1
12.11.23	Córdoba - Ceuta	3:3
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.03.23	Córdoba - Ceuta	1:1
06.11.22	Ceuta - Córdoba	1:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.05.22	Córdoba - Ceuta	3:2
19.12.21	Ceuta - Córdoba	0:0

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