Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 27

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube (Ceuta) 🌤️ ...

Referee: de Ena Wolf A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 3
Argentina	16:30	Disney+
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:30	Arena Sport 4
Brazil	16:30	Disney+
Chile	16:30	Disney+
Colombia	14:30	Disney+
Greece	21:30	Nova Sports Start
Laos	02:30	beIN Connect
Mexico	13:30	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	20:30	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium 2, Viaplay
Peru	14:30	Disney+
Portugal	19:30	DAZN / App
Romania	21:30	Prima Sport PPV 3
Russia	22:30	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	20:30	Arena Sport 1x2
Spain	20:30	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Thailand	02:30	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	22:30	S Sport+
Ukraine	21:30	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	19:30	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	16:30	Disney+
Venezuela	15:30	Disney+


	Ceuta		Granada

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	2.85	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.65
	2.45	3.05	2.88	Watch
	2.67	3.05	3.05
	2.59	3.03	2.96	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.9
	2.62	3.05	3.02	Watch
	2.6	3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.44)	3.02 ↓ (3.2)	2.9 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceuta
36.7%

Draw
31%

Granada
32.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.2%

29.2%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

29.4%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Granada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	21.4%	42.9%

Ceuta - Granada Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Ceuta will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Granada will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ceuta: 12% – 65%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ceuta (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Granada (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Granada (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Granada (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Ceuta (votes: 1 - 20%). Granada (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lopez P. (C) 7. Ahmed A. 6. Hernandez C. 15. Gonzalez D. 3. Matos Jose 19. Jamelli 5. Youness 12. Illescas M. 27. Domenech M. 8. Zalazar K. 22. Kone K.	1. Zidane L. (G) 28. Naasei O. 5. Lama M. 24. Williams L. 22. Diallo B. 8. Aleman P. 4. Alcaraz R. (C) 41. Gonzalez I. 7. Sola A. 9. Petit G. 11. Arnaiz J. M.
Substitutes
17. Almenara G. 26. Bassinga A. 14. Bodiger Y. 20. Campana J. 24. Cantero Y. 4. Caparros A. 16. Redruello Nimo C. 10. Rodriguez C. 2. Sanchez M. 25. Sanchez S. 11. Schor I. 13. Vallejo G. (G)	13. Astralaga A. (G) 10. Bouldini M. 17. Diaby B. 40. Diocou B. 23. Gagnidze L. 3. Hormigo D. 36. Juanjo 18. Lemos A. 19. Pascual J. 26. Rodelas S. 14. Trigueros M.
Coaches
Romero J.	Rojo Martin J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Domenech M. ⚽, Illescas M. (A),
34', Domenech M. ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,
37', Alcaraz R. 🟨,
37', Alcaraz R. ↓, Diocou B. ↑,
43', Gonzalez I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Lama M. 🟨,
55', Jamelli 🟨,
62', Youness 🟨,
64', Naasei O. ↓, Lemos A. ↑,
64', Diallo B. ↓, Rodelas S. ↑,
64', Petit G. ↓, Pascual J. ↑,
66', Youness ↓, Bodiger Y. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Diocou B. ⚽, Gonzalez I. (A),
77', Jamelli ↓, Bassinga A. ↑,
77', Illescas M. ↓, Campana J. ↑,
77', Kone K. ↓, Schor I. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Zalazar K. ⚽, Matos Jose (A),
85', Ahmed A. 🟨,
85', Aleman P. ↓, Bouldini M. ↑,
86', Sanchez S. 🟨,
90+4', Hernandez C. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 15).

Ceuta is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Granada is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Granada may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Ceuta: Anuar (Injury) Fernandez Sanchez M. (Red Card)

There will not play in Granada: Casadesus P. (Muscle Injury) Ruiz S. (Red Card) Saenz P. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Ceuta: Sanchez M. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ceuta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Granada CF	11	6	2	3	18:14	4	20
21	Ceuta	11	1	2	8	10:25	-15	5

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga2 for now

Granada CF: 4.48%

Last Results with these Odds

Ceuta - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.16%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Granada - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 32.68%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Ceuta
Spanish LaLiga2
15.02.26	Huesca - Ceuta	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Almería - Ceuta	4:2 ✺
26.01.26	Ceuta - Leonesa	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Ceuta - Valladolid	0:3 ✺
11.01.26	Málaga - Ceuta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLWLL
- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga2
14.02.26	Granada - Valladolid	5:1 ✺
06.02.26	Leganés - Granada	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Granada - Racing Santander	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Cádiz - Granada	1:2 ✺
19.01.26	Granada - Eibar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
07.12.25	Granada - Ceuta	1:1

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