Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 4

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube (Ceuta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, Dsports 9
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 9
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports, DSports 9
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Ceuta		Huesca

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.1	2.5	Watch
	2.65	2.87	2.65
	2.88	2.92	2.52	Watch
	3.11	2.98	2.66
	1.39	4.18	9.31	Watch
	2.7	2.9	2.7
	2.93	2.96	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.72)	3.13 ↓ (3.2)	3.57 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceuta
38.7%

Draw
32.7%

Huesca
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

29.2%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

28.6%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Huesca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Huesca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceuta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huesca than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Huesca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	36.4%	63.6%

Ceuta - Huesca Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Huesca will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Huesca: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Huesca (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Ceuta (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Ceuta (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Huesca (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Vallejo G. (G) 17. Almenara G. 6. Hernandez C. (C) 24. Cantero Y. 3. Matos Jose 19. Jamelli 5. Youness 8. Zalazar K. 7. Ahmed A. 9. Fernandez Sanchez M. 22. Kone K.	13. Jimenez D. (G) 14. Pulido J. (C) 5. Pina 15. Perez H. 2. Toni Abad 16. Alvarez J. 17. Alonso J. 23. Sielva O. 33. Luna D. 9. Enrich S. 10. Kortajarena I.
Substitutes
26. Bassinga A. 4. Caparros A. 23. de la Fuente K. 20. Escudero A. 15. Gonzalez D. 30. Josema 1. Lopez P. (G) 12. Obeng S. 16. Redruello Nimo C. 10. Rodriguez C. 21. Vallejo M.	28. Arribas S. 31. Aznar D. 11. Beltran L. 4. Carrillo A. 30. Martin D. (G) 19. Ntamack S. 22. Perez A. 1. Perez Juan (G) 20. Portillo F. 7. Rico M. 3. Ro 18. Rodriguez E.
Coaches
Romero J.	Guillo S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Kone K. ⚽, Ahmed A. (A),
13', Perez H. 🟨,
45+1', Pulido J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Pulido J. ↓, Beltran L. ↑,
46', Perez H. ↓, Arribas S. ↑,
51', Enrich S. 🟥,
56', Sielva O. ↓, Rico M. ↑,
56', Luna D. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
80', Kone K. ↓, Bassinga A. ↑,
80', Jamelli ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
80', Zalazar K. ↓, Obeng S. ↑,
80', Alvarez J. ↓, Portillo F. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Rodriguez E. ⚽, Arribas S. (A),
88', 2 - 1, Obeng S. ⚽, Rodriguez C. (A),
90', Ahmed A. ↓, Vallejo M. ↑,
90+2', Cantero Y. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
90+7', Matos Jose 🟨,

Preview

Ceuta has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Huesca is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Huesca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Huesca has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Ceuta: Anuar (Red Card) Bodiger Y. (Ribs Injury) Kone K. (Injury) Sanchez M. (Inactive) Youness (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Huesca: Martin J. (Knee Injury) Mier J. (Injury) Ojeda D. (Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Ceuta
Spanish LaLiga2
30.08.25	Racing Santander - Ceuta	4:1 ✺
23.08.25	Ceuta - Sporting de Gijón	0:1 ✺
15.08.25	Valladolid - Ceuta	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.25	Ceuta - Sevilla B	3:0 ✺
02.08.25	Cádiz - Ceuta	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLLWW
- SD Huesca
Spanish LaLiga2
01.09.25	Huesca - Eibar	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Mirandés - Huesca	0:1 ✺
17.08.25	Huesca - Leganés	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Huesca - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Huesca - Castellón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWTTT

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