Match Info

Date: 1 May 2022, Sunday


	Ceuta		San Roque de Lepe

	1	X	2
	1.83	3	4.33
	1.86	3.05	4.3
	1.83	3	4.3
	1.96	2.92	4.7
	1.88	3.25	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.02)	3.04 ↑ (3)	4.36 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceuta
48.9%

Draw
30.1%

San Roque de Lepe
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

30.3%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

32.5%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

San Roque de Lepe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Roque de Lepe than the current prediction. (+2%)

Ceuta - San Roque de Lepe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 7).

Recent matches Ceuta is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

San Roque de Lepe is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

San Roque de Lepe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ceuta is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ceuta won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Ceuta
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
24.04.22	Antequera - Ceuta	3:1 ✺
17.04.22	Ceuta - Mensajero	2:0 ✺
10.04.22	UD San Fernando - Ceuta	1:0 ✺
03.04.22	Ceuta - Tamaraceite	2:2 ✺
27.03.22	Don Benito - Ceuta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLTW
- San Roque de Lepe
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
24.04.22	San Roque de Lepe - Panadería Pulido	2:0 ✺
16.04.22	Las Palmas B - San Roque de Lepe	2:3 ✺
10.04.22	San Roque de Lepe - Mérida AD	0:1 ✺
03.04.22	Villanovense - San Roque de Lepe	0:0 ✺
27.03.22	San Roque de Lepe - Cacereño	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
12.12.21	San Roque de Lepe - Ceuta	2:2
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
31.08.19	San Roque de Lepe - Ceuta	1:0
11.05.19	San Roque de Lepe - Ceuta	4:2

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