Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 17

Date: 13 December 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio El Maulí (Antequera)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Antequera		Ceuta

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.2
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.2	3.15	3.25
	2.2	3.06	3.51
	2.1	3.08	3.47	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.2
	2.11	3.24	3.33
	2.2	3.15	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.94)	3.11 ↓ (3.15)	3.29 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antequera
42.6%

Draw
29.5%

Ceuta
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

29%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

27.8%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antequera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antequera than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Antequera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ceuta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Antequera - Ceuta Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Antequera will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Ceuta will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Lario J. (G) 12. Fomeyem F. 20. Aspra J. 4. Perez I. 3. Carrion J. 21. Biabiany J. 10. Nunez C. 5. Marcelo A. 7. Luismi Gutierrez 16. Elejalde I. 14. Rubio A.	13. Vallejo G. (G) 7. Ahmed A. 25. Cantero Y. 3. Lolo Gonzalez 16. Redruello Nimo C. 5. Bellotti M. 21. Lopez J. 19. Jamelli 12. Herranz Corral V. 20. Escudero A. 9. Rodri
Substitutes
30. Alcover D. (G) 19. Fernandez X. 8. Lanzini T. 23. Luengo Herrera L. M. 2. Maffeo V. 27. Maldonado R. 15. Moreno A. 1. Moreno I. (G) 9. Ribeiro 11. Siddiki O. 6. Toni Arranz 29. Topo	22. Aguero 28. Aniekan B. 14. Blesa Alex 4. Caparros A. 2. Delgado F. 18. El Ftouhi S. 15. Guzman J. 1. Lopez P. (G) 8. Ramos D. 10. Rodriguez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Elejalde I. ⚽,
23', Ahmed A. 🟨,
35', Carrion J. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 0, Perez I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 2 - 1, Bellotti M. ⚽,
58', Rubio A. ↓, Ribeiro ↑,
68', 2 - 2, Escudero A. ⚽,
77', Lopez J. ↓, Delgado F. ↑,
86', Escudero A. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
87', Fomeyem F. 🟨,
88', Carrion J. 🟨,
90', Lolo Gonzalez 🟨,
90', Elejalde I. ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+4', Ahmed A. ↓, El Ftouhi S. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 6).

Antequera in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ceuta is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Antequera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ceuta have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Antequera won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:4 (average 0.8:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Antequera won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Antequera CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
07.12.24	Alcorcón - Antequera	1:2 ✺
01.12.24	Antequera - Recreativo Huelva	1:1 ✺
23.11.24	Betis B - Antequera	1:2 ✺
17.11.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Antequera	1:2 ✺
10.11.24	Antequera - Ibiza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 WTWWW
- AD Ceuta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.12.24	Ceuta - Ibiza	3:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.12.24	Ceuta - Osasuna	2:3 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
01.12.24	Ceuta - Villarreal B	1:1 ✺
24.11.24	Alcoyano - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
17.11.24	Ceuta - Alcorcón	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.05.24	Ceuta - Antequera	2:0
03.01.24	Antequera - Ceuta	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
24.04.22	Antequera - Ceuta	3:1
05.12.21	Ceuta - Antequera	1:0

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