Match Info

Date: 26 September 2022, Monday

Location: Stade Gaston Petit (Châteauroux)


	Châteauroux		Dunkerque

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.95	3
	2.28	2.85	3.1
	2.21	3.1	3.2
	2.34	3.07	3.43
	2.2	2.9	3.2
	2.17	3.15	3.24	Watch
	2.23	3.15	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.26)	3.02 ↓ (3.05)	3.2 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Châteauroux
41%

Draw
30.3%

Dunkerque
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

29.8%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

32.6%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Châteauroux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.1%	34.8%	39.1%

Châteauroux - Dunkerque Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Châteauroux will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%). Dunkerque will win (votes: 9 - 39.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 34.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dunkerque: 19.2% – 59%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Châteauroux won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Châteauroux won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Châteauroux won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Châteauroux
French Ligue 3
16.09.22	Orleans - Châteauroux	1:1 ✺
09.09.22	Châteauroux - Bourg-Péronnas	0:2 ✺
02.09.22	Le Puy - Châteauroux	1:2 ✺
26.08.22	Châteauroux - Martigues	2:2 ✺
19.08.22	Avranches - Châteauroux	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLWTW
- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 3
16.09.22	Dunkerque - Cholet	3:0 ✺
09.09.22	Versailles - Dunkerque	2:0 ✺
02.09.22	Dunkerque - Bastia-Borgo	2:0 ✺
26.08.22	Nancy - Dunkerque	1:2 ✺
19.08.22	Dunkerque - Concarneau	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
10.04.21	Châteauroux - Dunkerque	1:2
05.12.20	Dunkerque - Châteauroux	2:0
French Ligue 3
08.04.17	Dunkerque - Châteauroux	1:1
04.11.16	Châteauroux - Dunkerque	0:1
22.04.16	Dunkerque - Châteauroux	1:1
22.01.16	Châteauroux - Dunkerque	2:0

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