Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 27

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade Marcel Tribut (Dunkerque)

Referee: Abed K. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Dunkerque		Concarneau

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	3.2	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.2
	2.3	3.1	3.2	Watch
	2.29	3.15	3.4
	2.37	3.09	3.48
	2.2	3.25	3.1
	2.31	3.24	3.25	Watch
	2.28	3.1	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.26)	3.14 ↓ (3.23)	3.26 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunkerque
41.1%

Draw
30%

Concarneau
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

29%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

27.5%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Concarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Concarneau than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	55.6%	22.2%

Dunkerque - Concarneau Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Dunkerque will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Concarneau will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Kone M. (G) 19. Youssouf B. 26. Sangante O. (C) 23. Lagae B. 7. Bilingi Y. 80. Yassine G. 25. Gbamin J. 10. Anziani J. 15. Laaziri A. 18. Courtet G. 20. Bardeli E.	30. Salles E. (G) 33. Faussurier J. 4. Janez G. (C) 12. Celestine J. 2. Georgen A. 19. Diawara K. 6. Phliponeau A. 15. Bares G. 7. Matondo I. 14. Ba P. I. 20. Mouazan B.
Substitutes
2. Ba A. 9. Baghdadi S. 24. Bah A. 5. Boissier R. 27. Ghrieb R. 1. Lavallee L. (G) 92. Maurer A.	8. Lebeau T. 9. Ndombasi N. 1. Pattier M. (G) 22. Rodrigues C. 23. Sans R. 26. Sinquin T. 11. Urie A.
Coaches
Castro L.	Le Mignan S.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dunkerque won 3.

Dunkerque in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Concarneau is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dunkerque will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Dunkerque won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Dunkerque won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 2
24.02.24	Troyes - Dunkerque	1:2 ✺
17.02.24	Dunkerque - Valenciennes	2:1 ✺
10.02.24	Rodez - Dunkerque	0:0 ✺
03.02.24	Dunkerque - Saint-Étienne	1:0 ✺
27.01.24	Paris FC - Dunkerque	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 WWTWW
- US Concarneau
French Ligue 2
24.02.24	Concarneau - Laval	1:3 ✺
17.02.24	Concarneau - Paris FC	2:2 ✺
10.02.24	Annecy - Concarneau	0:3 ✺
03.02.24	Concarneau - Valenciennes	1:0 ✺
27.01.24	Ajaccio - Concarneau	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
07.10.23	Concarneau - Dunkerque	4:3
French Ligue 3
20.01.23	Concarneau - Dunkerque	0:1
19.08.22	Dunkerque - Concarneau	0:1
01.11.19	Dunkerque - Concarneau	2:0
11.01.19	Dunkerque - Concarneau	3:0
11.08.18	Concarneau - Dunkerque	2:1
09.03.18	Concarneau - Dunkerque	2:1

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