Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 16

Date: 16 December 2022, Friday

Location: Stade Gaston Petit (Châteauroux)


	Châteauroux		Sedan

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.25	4.1
	1.63	3.65	4.5
	1.85	3.35	3.95
	1.81	3.42	4.91
	1.83	3.2	4
	1.78	3.44	4.25	Watch
	1.84	3.35	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.04)	3.38 ↑ (3.05)	4.23 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Châteauroux
51.3%

Draw
27.1%

Sedan
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

29.6%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

29.2%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Châteauroux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Châteauroux's performance.

Sedan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Châteauroux that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sedan than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.2%	47.2%	5.6%

Châteauroux - Sedan Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Châteauroux will win (votes: 17 - 47.2%). Sedan will win (votes: 2 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 47.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Châteauroux: 30.9% – 63.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Châteauroux won 2.

Châteauroux is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Sedan is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Châteauroux is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Châteauroux won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Châteauroux won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Châteauroux
French Ligue 3
09.12.22	Villefranche - Châteauroux	1:1 ✺
02.12.22	Châteauroux - Stade Briochin	2:2 ✺
28.11.22	Châteauroux - Le Mans	0:3 ✺
11.11.22	Cholet - Châteauroux	0:0 ✺
04.11.22	Châteauroux - Versailles	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TTLTL
- Sedan
French Ligue 3
09.12.22	Sedan - Cholet	2:1 ✺
05.12.22	Versailles - Sedan	2:0 ✺
25.11.22	Sedan - Bastia-Borgo	2:1 ✺
14.11.22	Nancy - Sedan	0:0 ✺
04.11.22	Sedan - Concarneau	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
04.03.22	Sedan - Châteauroux	0:2
27.09.21	Châteauroux - Sedan	1:1
11.03.17	Sedan - Châteauroux	2:1
23.09.16	Châteauroux - Sedan	2:2
27.05.16	Sedan - Châteauroux	0:3
08.01.16	Châteauroux - Sedan	2:2
French Ligue 2
11.01.13	Châteauroux - Sedan	1:1

Châteauroux - Sedan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide