Match Info

FRANCE: National - Round 9

Date: 18 October 2024, Friday

Location: Stade Gaston Petit (Châteauroux)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	FFF TV


	Châteauroux		Le Mans

	1	X	2
	2.6	3	2.4
	2.75	3.1	2.55
	2.97	3	2.67
	2.82	2.94	2.54	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.4
	2.74	3.14	2.46	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.75)	3.05 ↓ (3.14)	2.51 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Châteauroux
33.3%

Draw
30.1%

Le Mans
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

29.6%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

29.7%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Châteauroux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

The chances for Le Mans have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

Châteauroux - Le Mans Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Châteauroux will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Konate H. (G) 26. Cervantes N. 21. Chraibi O. 9. Diallo M. 17. Magnora A. 10. N'Goma F. 8. Pierre L. 6. Pires V. (C) 15. Umbdenstock I. 11. Versini G. 34. Wandji N.	16. Kocik N. (G) 3. Burlet V. 22. Calodat L. 11. Colas E. 21. Eyoum T. 25. Gueye D. 18. Lamgahez Z. 8. Lauray A. 6. Quarshie E. (C) 12. Ribelin A. 17. Yohou S.
Substitutes
14. Clairicia M. 24. Colella H. 13. Mbengue A. 7. Mendy F. 29. Tormin T.	33. Bernardeau G. 19. Dekoke N. 34. Matumona J. 26. Oggad B. 27. Rossignol M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Quarshie E. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Kocik N. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Burlet V. ↓, Oggad B. ↑,
53', Calodat L. ↓, Matumona J. ↑,
53', Lamgahez Z. ↓, Bernardeau G. ↑,
63', Quarshie E. ↓, Rossignol M. ↑,
66', Eyoum T. 🟨,
67', Rossignol M. 🟨,
70', Versini G. ↓, Mendy F. ↑,
73', Wandji N. 🟥,
76', 1 - 1, Lauray A. ⚽,
80', N'Goma F. ↓, Colella H. ↑,
82', 1 - 2, Colas E. ⚽,
84', Bernardeau G. 🟨,
85', Cervantes N. ↓, Tormin T. ↑,
85', Diallo M. ↓, Clairicia M. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Châteauroux won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Châteauroux could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Châteauroux won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7:12 (average 0.7:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Châteauroux won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Châteauroux
French Ligue 3
04.10.24	Concarneau - Châteauroux	3:1 ✺
20.09.24	Rouen FC - Châteauroux	4:0 ✺
13.09.24	Châteauroux - Quevilly	4:3 ✺
06.09.24	Valenciennes - Châteauroux	3:1 ✺
30.08.24	Châteauroux - Bourg-Péronnas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWLW
- Le Mans FC
French Ligue 3
27.09.24	Quevilly - Le Mans	1:2 ✺
20.09.24	Le Mans - Bourg-Péronnas	1:2 ✺
13.09.24	Boulogne - Le Mans	3:2 ✺
06.09.24	Le Mans - Dijon	0:0 ✺
30.08.24	Sochaux - Le Mans	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
12.04.24	Châteauroux - Le Mans	1:2
13.11.23	Le Mans - Châteauroux	1:1
14.04.23	Le Mans - Châteauroux	1:1
28.11.22	Châteauroux - Le Mans	0:3
21.01.22	Le Mans - Châteauroux	1:0
23.08.21	Châteauroux - Le Mans	2:1
French Ligue 2
29.11.19	Le Mans - Châteauroux	1:2

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