Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 21

Date: 19 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio de Chacarita Juniors (Buenos Aires)


	Chacarita Juniors		Güemes

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.00	4.33
	1.98	3.00	3.90
	1.88	3.00	4.10	Watch
	2.02	3.13	4.36
	1.98	3.1	4.25	Watch
	1.94	3.05	4.40
	1.99	2.98	4.31
	1.96	2.90	4.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.92)	3.02 ↑ (2.91)	4.21 ↓ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chacarita Juniors
47.2%

Draw
30.7%

Güemes
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

31.7%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

27.2%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chacarita Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Güemes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chacarita Juniors than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chacarita Juniors that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Güemes than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Chacarita Juniors - Güemes Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Chacarita will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Losas F. (G) 3. Chaves N. 8. Cristaldo F. 9. Dominguez A. 4. Facello F. 10. Guanca C. 7. Melendez M. 6. Pantaleone N. 5. Perez T. (C) 11. Sanabria M. 2. Vittor S.	1. Finochietto L. (G) 11. Baier G. 3. Benitez M. 4. Bordon A. 8. Gerez M. 5. Godoy F. 2. Juarez W. 6. Melillan F. 10. Ortigoza I. 7. Sala S. G. 9. Sanchez J.
Substitutes
13. Acosta S. 19. Brun L. 16. Bustos L. 14. Calderara B. 18. Cuero M. 15. Duran D. 12. Fernandez G. (G) 20. Gerez E. 17. Jaime M.	15. Carranza J. 18. Farrera S. 13. Gonzalez A. (G) 19. Guinazu L. 16. Juarez J. 20. Leineker C. 14. Martinez M. 17. Pinto A. 12. Tevez A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Ortigoza I. 🟨,
56', Sala S. G. ↓, Guinazu L. ↑,
64', Cristaldo F. ↓, Brun L. ↑,
72', Sanchez J. ↓, Leineker C. ↑,
75', Leineker C. 🟨,
81', Guanca C. ↓, Jaime M. ↑,
81', Sanabria M. ↓, Bustos L. ↑,
81', Facello F. ↓, Cuero M. ↑,
82', Gerez M. ↓, Pinto A. ↑,
82', Bordon A. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
90+1', Guinazu L. 🟥,
90+2', Vittor S. ↓, Gerez E. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Chacarita has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Güemes is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Chacarita is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Chacarita won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Chacarita won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chacarita Juniors
Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.08.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - Chacarita Juniors	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Atlético de Rafaela - Chacarita Juniors	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	Chacarita Juniors - Agropecuario Argentino	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Tristán Suárez - Chacarita Juniors	1:0 ✺
12.07.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Chacarita Juniors	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLWLT
- CA Güemes
Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.08.26	Mitre - Güemes	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Agropecuario Argentino - Güemes	3:0 ✺
03.08.26	Güemes - Tristán Suárez	1:3 ✺
26.07.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Güemes	2:1 ✺
12.07.26	Güemes - San Martín de San Juan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
01.03.26	Güemes - Chacarita Juniors	2:1
19.10.24	Güemes - Chacarita Juniors	2:1
01.06.24	Chacarita Juniors - Güemes	2:0
18.09.22	Güemes - Chacarita Juniors	0:1

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