The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Club Almagro 33.2%
Draw 32.8%
Chacarita Juniors 34%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.4%
33.2%
30.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37%
32.8%
30.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Club Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
Chacarita Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chacarita Juniors than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Club Almagro - Chacarita Juniors Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gonzalez E. (G) 4. Asis G. 2. Chamorro S. 6. Negro B. 3. Silcan E. 5. Vitale J. 8. Martinez E. 7. Marchioni J. 11. Macies T. 10. Bustamante F. 9. De La Vega F.
1. Losas F. (G) 4. Leyendeker M. 2. Acosta S. 6. Pantaleone N. 3. Chaves N. 5. Perez T. (C) 7. Melendez M. 10. Guanca C. 8. Cuello A. 11. Cuero M. 9. Dominguez A.
Substitutes
12. Anchoverri S. (G) 15. Blanco P. 18. Bustos J. 13. Cortave M. 17. Fernandes J. 14. Flores J. 19. Orlando J. 20. Salto C. 16. Villalobos U.
17. Alfonzo L. 19. Cristaldo F. 14. Duran D. 16. Facello F. 12. Fernandez G. (G) 13. Migliore T. 15. Perdomo L. 18. Sanabria M. 20. Zarate T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Marchioni J. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Dominguez A. ⚽, Chaves N. (A),
39', Negro B. ↓, Cortave M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Bustamante F. ↓, Bustos J. ↑,
61', Macies T. ↓, Orlando J. ↑,
68', Melendez M. ↓, Sanabria M. ↑,
73', Acosta S. 🟨,
74', 2 - 1, Bustos J. ⚽,
83', Cuero M. ↓, Cristaldo F. ↑,
83', Acosta S. ↓, Alfonzo L. ↑,
83', Cuello A. ↓, Facello F. ↑,
84', De La Vega F. ↓, Blanco P. ↑,
84', Silcan E. ↓, Flores J. ↑,
89', Perez T. 🟨,
90+1', Dominguez A. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 13th and 17th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almagro won 1.
Almagro is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Chacarita have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Almagro has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:12 (averaging 0.9:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Almagro against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 6:7 goals (averaging 1:1.2 per game).
Watch
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Gonzalez E. (G) 
Cuero M. 
