The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Club Almagro 38.5%
Draw 33.8%
Nueva Chicago 27.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.2%
33.6%
32.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.9%
32.3%
33.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Club Almagro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
Nueva Chicago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Club Almagro that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nueva Chicago could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Club Almagro - Nueva Chicago Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Almagro will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gonzalez E. (G) 10. Bustamante F. 2. Chamorro S. 9. De La Vega F. 5. Fernandes J. 4. Flores J. 11. Macies T. 8. Martinez E. 6. Negro B. 7. Orlando J. 3. Tolosa N.
1. Masuero F. (G) 10. Ambrogio L. 4. Antunes I. 3. Arroyo D. 2. Gissi D. 11. Gonzalez A. 5. Mendez E. (C) 7. Ocampo T. 6. Paz G. 9. Perez M. 8. Rodriguez T.
Substitutes
12. Anchoverri S. (G) 15. Asis G. 17. Bustos J. 20. Dornell T. 16. Laba M. 18. Lopez T. 19. Salto C. 14. Silcan E. 13. Vitale J.
19. Balbuena R. 13. Ferracutti G. 12. Jachfe L. (G) 15. Palazzo B. 20. Petrecca N. 16. Rogoski M. 17. Ruiz A. 18. Sardinas J. 14. Vega G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
8', 0 - 1, Antunes I. ⚽, Ambrogio L. (A),
20', Ambrogio L. 🟨,
23', Rodriguez T. 🟨,
24', Bustamante F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Chamorro S. 🟨,
57', Ocampo T. ↓, Vega G. ↑,
62', Paz G. 🟨,
62', Orlando J. ↓, Dornell T. ↑,
62', Flores J. ↓, Asis G. ↑,
75', Bustamante F. ↓, Lopez T. ↑,
75', Fernandes J. ↓, Bustos J. ↑,
77', Paz G. ↓, Palazzo B. ↑,
79', Arroyo D. ↓, Ferracutti G. ↑,
80', Gissi D. 🟨,
82', Perez M. ↓, Rogoski M. ↑,
82', Ambrogio L. ↓, Ruiz A. ↑,
85', Martinez E. ↓, Salto C. ↑,
90+3', Tolosa N. 🟥,
Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 14th and 15th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almagro won 1.
In recent outings, Almagro has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Nueva Chicago has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Almagro could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Almagro holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Almagro has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:12 (averaging 1.1:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Almagro against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 2:4 goals (averaging 0.5:1 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Nueva Chicago - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 32.18%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Gonzalez E. (G) 
Gissi D. 
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