Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 31

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio de Colegiales (Buenos Aires)


	Colegiales		Chacarita Juniors

	1	X	2
	2.10	2.75	3.90
	2.05	2.85	3.80
	1.96	2.95	3.90	Watch
	2.23	2.91	4.14
	2.01	3	4.31	Watch
	2.01	3.00	4.25
	2.17	2.83	3.93
	2.09	2.80	3.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.19)	2.89 ↑ (2.8)	4 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colegiales
44.7%

Draw
32.2%

Chacarita Juniors
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

33.3%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

32.6%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colegiales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Chacarita Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colegiales than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chacarita Juniors than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Colegiales - Chacarita Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Colegiales will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Chacarita will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Di Fulvio E. (G) 4. Malagueno F. 2. Insua E. 6. Ortiz L. 3. Hanashiro F. 8. Gonzalez L. 5. Montiel F. 11. Trinidad E. 7. Monserrat R. E. 9. Albertengo M. 10. Castillo L.	1. Losas F. (G) 4. Leyendeker M. 2. Vittor S. 6. Pantaleone N. 3. Calderara B. 8. Cuello A. 5. Perez T. (C) 11. Sanabria M. 7. Cuero M. 9. Dominguez A. 10. Guanca C.
Substitutes
12. Alcorcel A. (G) 13. Gaston C. 19. Mamani M. 14. Miranda F. 16. Ocampo E. 18. Perri T. 15. Ramirez M. 20. Toloza N. 17. Zicarelli F.	13. Acosta S. 18. Alfonzo L. 14. Chaves N. 19. Cristaldo F. 17. Duran D. 16. Facello F. 12. Fernandez G. (G) 15. Perdomo L. 20. Zarate T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Albertengo M. ⚽, Monserrat R. E. (A),
37', 1 - 1, Guanca C. ⚽, Sanabria M. (A),
40', 2 - 1, Ortiz L. ⚽,
41', Ortiz L. 🟨,
41', Dominguez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Montiel F. 🟨,
49', Pantaleone N. 🟨,
56', Hanashiro F. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
64', Leyendeker M. ↓, Facello F. ↑,
66', Malagueno F. ↓, Ocampo E. ↑,
66', Monserrat R. E. ↓, Gaston C. ↑,
71', Gonzalez L. ↓, Zicarelli F. ↑,
72', Albertengo M. ↓, Toloza N. ↑,
73', Sanabria M. ↓, Zarate T. ↑,
74', Ramirez M. 🟥,
81', Cuello A. 🟨,
83', Cuello A. ↓, Cristaldo F. ↑,
83', Calderara B. ↓, Chaves N. ↑,
90+1', Toloza N. 🟨,
90+1', Zicarelli F. 🟨,
90+4', Vittor S. 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 10th and 17th in the Relegation).

Colegiales has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Chacarita is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this matchup, Colegiales is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Colegiales has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:4 (averaging 0.5:2 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Chacarita Juniors - the odds 3.88 are the expected chance of winning is 24.05%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Colegiales
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.09.26	San Martín de San Juan - Colegiales	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Colegiales - Nueva Chicago	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Temperley - Colegiales	3:1 ✺
02.09.26	Colegiales - Ferrocarril Midland	3:0 ✺
29.08.26	Colegiales - Deportivo Maipú	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLWW
- Chacarita Juniors
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.09.26	Chacarita Juniors - Quilmes	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Chacarita Juniors	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Chacarita Juniors - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Chacarita Juniors	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Chacarita Juniors - San Martín de Tucumán	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.05.26	Chacarita Juniors - Colegiales	2:0
Argentinian Primera B
13.10.14	Chacarita Juniors - Colegiales	2:1

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