The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chacarita Juniors 47.3%
Draw 31.1%
Patronato Parana 21.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.7%
31.6%
24.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.6%
32.3%
24.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chacarita Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chacarita Juniors than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
0%
16.7%
Chacarita Juniors - Patronato Parana Predictions
Users Predictions:
Chacarita Juniors will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Losas F. (G) 4. Leyendeker M. 2. Acosta S. 6. Pantaleone N. 3. Chaves N. 7. Melendez M. 5. Perez T. (C) 8. Cuello A. 10. Guanca C. 9. Dominguez A. 11. Sanabria M.
1. Sosa A. (G) 4. Rueda W. 2. Meritello F. 6. Evangelista F. 3. Heredia F. 8. Salas J. 5. Picco A. (C) 10. Barinaga J. P. 11. Pereyra V. L. 7. Soldano F. 9. Reynaga R.
Substitutes
17. Alfonzo L. 19. Cristaldo F. 18. Cuero M. 14. Duran D. 16. Facello F. 12. Fernandez G. (G) 13. Migliore T. 15. Perdomo L. 20. Zarate T.
20. Attis T. 19. Barolin J. 17. Bravo B. 15. Brugevin M. 13. Diaz F. N. 14. Piccioni S. 12. Rivasseau F. (G) 18. Salega G. 16. Strey L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Salas J. ↓, Barolin J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Soldano F. ↓, Piccioni S. ↑,
46', Barinaga J. P. ↓, Bravo B. ↑,
60', Reynaga R. ↓, Attis T. ↑,
63', Meritello F. 🟨,
66', Perez T. ↓, Cuero M. ↑,
66', Sanabria M. ↓, Cristaldo F. ↑,
69', Leyendeker M. 🟨,
71', Cuello A. 🟨,
74', Acosta S. ↓, Facello F. ↑,
76', Barolin J. 🟥,
82', Pantaleone N. ↓, Migliore T. ↑,
82', Chaves N. ↓, Alfonzo L. ↑,
86', Cristaldo F. 🟨,
90', Evangelista F. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 0, Cuero M. ⚽,
90+5', Cuero M. 🟨,
Preview
A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 17th in the Relegation and 16th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chacarita won 1.
Chacarita is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Patronato have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Chacarita could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Chacarita carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Chacarita has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:14 (averaging 1:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chacarita against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 5:1 goals (averaging 1.7:0.3 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Chacarita Juniors - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.66%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Patronato Parana - the odds 3.77 are the expected chance of winning is 24.78%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Losas F. (G) 
Cuero M. 
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