Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 20

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Osvaldo Baletto (Dock Sud)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	San Telmo		Chaco For Ever

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.75	4.10
	2.10	2.85	3.70
	2.23	3.00	3.40
	2.24	2.92	4.36
	2.09	2.92	4.1	Watch
	2.20	2.60	4.30
	2.17	2.77	4.05	Watch
	2.12	2.70	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.23)	2.81 ↓ (3.1)	3.98 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Telmo
43.3%

Draw
33.2%

Chaco For Ever
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

30%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

29%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Telmo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Chaco For Ever has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaco For Ever than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

San Telmo - Chaco For Ever Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. San Telmo will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Chaco For Ever will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Enrico J. C. (G) 4. Roncaglia F. 2. Pollacchi L. 6. Britez L. 3. Paredes G. 8. Uriburu R. 5. Britez E. 11. Gamarra R. 7. Porto J. 9. Molina N. 10. Baez F.	1. Canuto G. (G) 4. Luque A. 2. Valdez D. 6. Garay R. 3. Pruzzo L. 7. Carrizo J. 5. Nievas B. 8. Gaggi E. 10. Fernandez L. 9. Romero M. S. 11. Pacheco G.
Substitutes
14. Diaz E. 19. Gonzalez R. 17. Iritier J. 18. Larthirigoyen I. 13. Motroni J. 12. Rial J. (G) 20. Zurbriggen J.	12. Caprio N. (G) 20. Cerrudo J. 19. Diaz Chaves M. 17. Lioi A. 18. Melgarejo G. 14. Moreno F. 13. Silvera M. 16. Tevez M. 15. Valenzuela S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Romero M. S. ⚽, Fernandez L. (A),
23', Nievas B. 🟨,
26', Britez L. 🟨,
37', Canuto G. 🟨,
38', 0 - 2, Gaggi E. ⚽, Romero M. S. (A),
44', Luque A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Uriburu R. ↓, Iritier J. ↑,
46', Roncaglia F. ↓, Motroni J. ↑,
46', Porto J. ↓, Diaz E. ↑,
46', Gamarra R. ↓, Zurbriggen J. ↑,
46', 1 - 2, Motroni J. ⚽, Iritier J. (A),
52', Nievas B. ↓, Valenzuela S. ↑,
52', Pacheco G. ↓, Moreno F. ↑,
69', Fernandez L. ↓, Lioi A. ↑,
72', Molina N. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
79', Carrizo J. ↓, Diaz Chaves M. ↑,
79', Gaggi E. ↓, Cerrudo J. ↑,
80', Paredes G. 🟨,
89', 1 - 3, Romero M. S. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Telmo won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

San Telmo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, San Telmo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, San Telmo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Chaco For Ever - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 28.21%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA San Telmo
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.07.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - San Telmo	2:1 ✺
20.06.26	San Telmo - Racing de Córdoba	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	Central Norte - San Telmo	0:0 ✺
07.06.26	San Telmo - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
30.05.26	Defensores de Belgrano - San Telmo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWTTL
- Chaco For Ever
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.07.26	Chaco For Ever - Acassuso	1:1 ✺
20.06.26	Chaco For Ever - Colón	1:0 ✺
14.06.26	Racing de Córdoba - Chaco For Ever	2:0 ✺
07.06.26	Chaco For Ever - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:2 ✺
31.05.26	Central Norte - Chaco For Ever	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.02.26	Chaco For Ever - San Telmo	2:2
30.08.25	San Telmo - Chaco For Ever	0:2
26.04.25	Chaco For Ever - San Telmo	1:2
25.08.24	Chaco For Ever - San Telmo	1:0
06.04.24	San Telmo - Chaco For Ever	2:0
14.02.22	San Telmo - Chaco For Ever	1:1

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