The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chalatenango 55.3%
Draw 25.9%
Municipal Limeño 18.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.7%
28%
20.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.7%
29.6%
19.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chalatenango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
Municipal Limeño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chalatenango than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Municipal Limeño than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
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Preview
One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Chalatenango won 0.
Recent matches Chalatenango is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Municipal Limeño is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match Chalatenango is a favorite.
Last 24 head-to-head matches Chalatenango won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 27-33.
Including matches at home between the teams Chalatenango won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-14.