Match Info

SOUTH KOREA: K3 LEAGUE - ROUND 30

Date: 29 October 2022, Saturday


	Changwon City		Cheongju

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.49	3.7	5.75
	1.4	3.75	7.5
	1.47	3.65	6.4
	1.51	3.81	7.28
	1.46	3.88	6.65
	1.48	3.7	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.74)	3.75 ↑ (3.48)	6.66 ↑ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Changwon City
62%

Draw
24.3%

Cheongju
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

25.9%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

24.8%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Changwon City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Changwon City's performance.

Cheongju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cheongju might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Changwon City than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Changwon City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheongju than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cheongju could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Changwon City - Cheongju Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Changwon will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Cheongju will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ K3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 13).

Changwon in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cheongju is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Changwon have a series of guest games.

Recently Cheongju have a series of home games.

In this match Changwon is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Changwon to win the game is with odds 1.46.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Changwon won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Changwon won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Changwon City FC
South Korean K3 League
23.10.22	Siheung - Changwon City	1:2 ✺
02.10.22	Yangju Citizen - Changwon City	1:2 ✺
23.09.22	Changwon City - Gangneung	2:0 ✺
17.09.22	Ulsan Citizen - Changwon City	0:2 ✺
03.09.22	Pocheon - Changwon City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWWT
- Cheongju FC
South Korean K3 League
23.10.22	Cheongju - Pocheon	1:3 ✺
01.10.22	Cheongju - Gimhae	0:1 ✺
25.09.22	Hwaseong - Cheongju	1:0 ✺
17.09.22	Cheongju - Gyeongju KH&NP	0:0 ✺
04.09.22	Cheongju - Paju Frontier	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
04.06.22	Cheongju - Changwon City	3:2
27.08.21	Changwon City - Cheongju	0:1
24.04.21	Cheongju - Changwon City	3:0

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