Match Info

SOUTH KOREA: K3 LEAGUE - ROUND 24

Date: 3 September 2023, Sunday


	Yangju Citizen		Changwon City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.9	2.85	2.45
	3.03	3.06	2.5
	2.88	3.13	2.39	Watch
	2.85	3.05	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.5)	3.02 ↓ (3.2)	2.43 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yangju Citizen
31.6%

Draw
30.5%

Changwon City
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

27.6%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yangju Citizen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Changwon City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yangju Citizen than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Changwon City than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Yangju Citizen - Changwon City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Yangju Citizen won 3.

Yangju Citizen has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Changwon is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Changwon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Yangju Citizen won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Yangju Citizen won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yangju Citizen FC
South Korean K3 League
26.08.23	Yangju Citizen - Ulsan Citizen	0:2 ✺
19.08.23	Pocheon - Yangju Citizen	1:0 ✺
12.08.23	Yangju Citizen - Hwaseong	1:2 ✺
22.07.23	Busan Kyotong - Yangju Citizen	2:1 ✺
16.07.23	Yangju Citizen - Siheung	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT
- Changwon City FC
South Korean K3 League
19.08.23	Paju Frontier - Changwon City	1:2 ✺
11.08.23	Changwon City - Daejeon Korail	2:4 ✺
23.07.23	Chuncheon - Changwon City	2:1 ✺
14.07.23	Changwon City - Gangneung	1:2 ✺
08.07.23	Gyeongju KH&NP - Changwon City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
05.05.23	Changwon City - Yangju Citizen	1:2
02.10.22	Yangju Citizen - Changwon City	1:2
28.05.22	Changwon City - Yangju Citizen	0:1
04.09.21	Yangju Citizen - Changwon City	1:1
01.05.21	Changwon City - Yangju Citizen	0:1
18.07.20	Changwon City - Yangju Citizen	3:1

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