Match Info

Date: 10 April 2021, Saturday


	Chapecoense		Próspera Criciúma

	1	X	2
	1.36	4	8
	1.36	4.1	8.25
	1.36	4	8
	1.4	3.7	8
	1.37	4.41	9.03
	1.42	3.9	7.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.41)	4.02 ↑ (3.86)	8.2 ↑ (7.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chapecoense
66.2%

Draw
22.7%

Próspera Criciúma
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

23.4%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

13.7%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chapecoense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Próspera Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (-28.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chapecoense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Próspera Criciúma than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Próspera Criciúma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chapecoense - Próspera Criciúma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to Campeonato Catarinense (Play Offs: Quartertofinals) and 7 in the zone Promotion to Campeonato Catarinense (Play Offs: Quartertofinals)).

Chapecoense is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Próspera is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Chapecoense is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chapecoense-SC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
03.04.21	Joinville - Chapecoense	0:3 ✺
31.03.21	Chapecoense - Brusque	0:0 ✺
28.03.21	Figueirense - Chapecoense	1:3 ✺
24.03.21	Chapecoense - Hercílio Luz	0:1 ✺
21.03.21	Chapecoense - Grêmio Juventus	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTWLW
- Próspera Criciúma
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
03.04.21	Próspera Criciúma - Grêmio Juventus	0:0 ✺
31.03.21	Criciúma - Próspera Criciúma	0:1 ✺
28.03.21	Próspera Criciúma - Avaí	1:1 ✺
24.03.21	Concórdia - Próspera Criciúma	4:0 ✺
20.03.21	Próspera Criciúma - Metropolitano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 TWTLW

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