Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 9

Date: 29 May 2023, Monday

Location: Arena Condá (Chapecó)

Referee: Pereira de Lima R. J. (Bra)


	Chapecoense		Sampaio Corrêa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.1	3.7
	2	3.05	3.9
	2.08	3.26	4.04
	2	3.1	3.9
	2.03	3.18	4	Watch
	2.04	3.2	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.19)	3.15 ↓ (3.23)	3.86 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chapecoense
46.2%

Draw
29.6%

Sampaio Corrêa
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

28.7%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

28.3%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chapecoense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Sampaio Corrêa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sampaio Corrêa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Chapecoense - Sampaio Corrêa Predictions

Users Predictions: Chapecoense will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Joao Paulo (G) 15. Ronei 32. Rodrigo Freitas 3. Victor Ramos (C) 80. Mancha 22. Bruno 70. Dudu Vieira 94. Felipe Ferreira 44. Gabriel Xavier 10. Alisson Farias 9. Ribamar	1. Luiz Daniel (G) 2. Mateus Pivo 3. Gabriel Furtado 4. Gustavo Henrique 6. Alyson Neves 5. Jhony Douglas 8. Neto Paraiba 7. Vitinho 10. Marcinho (C) 22. Vinicius Alves 20. Mauricio Maranhao
Substitutes
6. Cristiano 99. Darnlei 7. Giovanni Pavani 55. Gustavo Cazanotti 46. Igor Pavan (G) 11. Maxwell 18. Murilo 5. Pablo Oliveira 30. Rafael Ribeiro 77. Richard 25. Siles P. 98. Tiepo (G)	18. Alexandre Tam 19. Bill 23. Claudio Cebolinha 15. Eloir 13. Joecio 14. Leo Silva 21. Luiz Otavio 17. Rafael Vila 16. Rodrigo Souza 12. Thiago Braga (G) 9. Venicius Cascais
Coaches
Fuchs A.	Medeiros E.

Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 15 and 16).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Chapecoense will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Chapecoense: Douglas Borel (Injury) Felipe Albuquerque (Injury) Leo (Injury) Mauricio (Injury) Tiepo (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Chapecoense won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Chapecoense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chapecoense-SC
Brazilian Serie B
24.05.23	Guarani - Chapecoense	3:3 ✺
21.05.23	Chapecoense - Juventude	0:2 ✺
12.05.23	Avaí - Chapecoense	1:4 ✺
06.05.23	Chapecoense - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
02.05.23	Atlético Goianiense - Chapecoense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLWTL
- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie B
24.05.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Ponte Preta	0:0 ✺
20.05.23	Sampaio Corrêa - ABC	1:0 ✺
13.05.23	Guarani - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0 ✺
06.05.23	Sampaio Corrêa - Juventude	2:1 ✺
02.05.23	CRB Maceio - Sampaio Corrêa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
11.10.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Chapecoense	2:1
01.07.22	Chapecoense - Sampaio Corrêa	3:1
20.11.20	Sampaio Corrêa - Chapecoense	1:3
16.08.20	Chapecoense - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0

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