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Current Win Probability
Atlético Goianiense 49.1%
Draw 29.2%
Chapecoense 21.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.9%
25.6%
17.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.4%
24.9%
17.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Goianiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Goianiense's form might have worsened.
Chapecoense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Goianiense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.9%
9.7%
6.5%
Atlético Goianiense - Chapecoense Predictions
Users Predictions:
Atlético Goianiense will win
(26 of 31 users predict this - 83.87%). Confidence interval (95%): 70.92% – 96.82%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atlético Goianiense will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Vladimir (G) 2. Valdir Junior 3. Alix Vinicius 4. Adriano Martins 6. Guilherme Romao 8. Luizao 5. Castro 10. Shaylon (C) 7. Robert Conceicao 11. Kelvin 9. Martinez F.
12. Leo Vieira (G) 25. Victor Caetano 3. Eduardo Doma 4. Joao Paulo 2. Gabriel Inocencio 99. Rafael Carvalheira 16. Bruno Matias 37. Clar W. 95. Marcinho 18. Neto Pessoa 7. Marcinho (C)
Substitutes
17. Araos A. 18. Ariel 20. Cosentino L. 19. Gustavo Daniel 15. Ham E. 16. Kauan Rodrigues 12. Leo Rosa (G) 14. Pedro Henrique 13. Ruan Teixeira 21. Talisson 22. Yuri Alves
14. Bressan 26. Everton 76. Felipe Vieira 77. Italo 5. Jorge Jimenez 21. Kauan 90. Mailson 48. Pedro Martins 9. Pedro Perotti 1. Rafael Santos (G)
Coaches
Rafael Lacerda
Gilmar Pozzo
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Castro 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Marcinho ↓, Pedro Martins ↑,
46', Gabriel Inocencio ↓, Italo ↑,
46', Castro ↓, Gustavo Daniel ↑,
58', Kelvin ↓, Cosentino L. ↑,
67', Martinez F. ↓, Talisson ↑,
67', Shaylon ↓, Kauan Rodrigues ↑,
71', Valdir Junior 🟨,
77', Marcinho ↓, Rubens Ricoldi ↑,
78', Robert Conceicao ↓, Ariel ↑,
81', Neto Pessoa 🟨,
83', Neto Pessoa ↓, Pedro Perotti ↑,
88', Rafael Carvalheira ↓, Everton ↑,
89', Alix Vinicius 🟨,
90+3', Talisson 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético GO won 3.
Atlético GO is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Chapecoense is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Atlético GO may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Atlético GO is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Atlético GO: Conrado
(Yellow Cards)
Guilherme Romao
(Inactive)
Jorginho
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Matheus Felipe
(Red Card)
Sandro Lima
(Inactive)
Talisson
(Inactive)
Vitor P.
(Red Card)
Willian Maranhao
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Chapecoense: Eduardo Person
(Inactive)
Giovanni Augusto
(Yellow Cards)
Mancha
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Atlético GO: Wallace
(Injury)
There are questionable in Chapecoense: Getulio
(Injury)
Jhonnathan
(Inactive)
Mailton
(Injury)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Atlético GO won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlético GO won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
Brazil
Watch
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Vladimir (G) 
Martinez F. 
Clar W. 
Araos A. 
Ham E. 
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