The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chapulineros de Oaxaca 32.3%
Draw 27.2%
Montañeses 40.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.8%
28.5%
35.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.9%
28.6%
35.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chapulineros de Oaxaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Montañeses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapulineros de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montañeses than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Montañeses Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
67', 1 - 0, ⚽,
82', 2 - 0, ⚽,
85', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7th and 5th).
Chapulineros is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Montañeses has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Chapulineros could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Chapulineros has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:4 (averaging 0.5:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chapulineros against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals.
Watch
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