Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 24

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Chapulineros de Oaxaca		Montañeses

	1	X	2
	2.44	4.07	2.22
	2.3	4.29	2.39	Watch
	2.25	3.8	2.45
	2.42	4.1	2.2
	2.95	3.5	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.95)	3.95 ↑ (3.5)	2.25 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chapulineros de Oaxaca
36.7%

Draw
23%

Montañeses
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

25.4%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

25.1%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chapulineros de Oaxaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chapulineros de Oaxaca's performance.

Montañeses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapulineros de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chapulineros de Oaxaca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montañeses than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Montañeses Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 and 8)

Chapulineros has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Montañeses's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Montañeses might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chapulineros won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chapulineros de Oaxaca
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
14.03.26	Inter Playa Del Carmen - Chapulineros de Oaxaca	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Héroes de Zaci	1:2 ✺
02.03.26	Celaya - Chapulineros de Oaxaca	1:0 ✺
13.02.26	Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Racing de Veracruz	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Tapachula Soconusco - Chapulineros de Oaxaca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLLTL
- Montañeses FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
15.03.26	Montañeses - Racing de Veracruz	1:3 ✺
09.03.26	Tapachula Soconusco - Montañeses	3:1 ✺
01.03.26	Montañeses - Deportiva Venados	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Neza - Montañeses	0:5 ✺
15.02.26	Montañeses - Dragones Toluca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
09.11.25	Montañeses - Chapulineros de Oaxaca	2:1

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