Match Info

Primera Premier - Round 5

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Independiente MRCI (San Jeronimo Tlacochahuaya)


	Chapulineros de Oaxaca		Pioneros de Cancún

	1	X	2
	2.60	3.30	2.25
	2.59	3.45	2.24
	2.69	3.42	2.36	Watch
	2.65	3.15	2.30
	2.61	3.40	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (3.04)	3.34 ↑ (3.32)	2.28 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chapulineros de Oaxaca
34%

Draw
26.7%

Pioneros de Cancún
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

27.2%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chapulineros de Oaxaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Pioneros de Cancún has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Pioneros de Cancún Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, ⚽,
32', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 2, ⚽,
55', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 8th and 3rd in the Promotion ~ Primera Premier Playoffs).

Chapulineros could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Pioneros de Cancún is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Chapulineros has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:1 (averaging 1.5:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Chapulineros against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chapulineros de Oaxaca
Mexican Primera Premier
11.09.26	Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Celaya	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Racing de Veracruz - Chapulineros de Oaxaca	5:1 ✺
28.08.26	Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Jaguares de Chiapas	0:1 ✺
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
11.04.26	Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Pioneros de Cancún	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Jaguares de Chiapas - Chapulineros de Oaxaca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLLTT
- Pioneros de Cancún
Mexican Primera Premier
19.09.26	Pioneros de Cancún - Tapachula Soconusco	5:1 ✺
07.09.26	Inter Playa Del Carmen - Pioneros de Cancún	0:4 ✺
29.08.26	Pioneros de Cancún - Celaya	0:3 ✺
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
11.04.26	Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Pioneros de Cancún	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Pioneros de Cancún - Racing de Veracruz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
11.04.26	Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Pioneros de Cancún	1:1
22.11.25	Pioneros de Cancún - Chapulineros de Oaxaca	0:2

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