Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Conference League Group - Round 36

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade du Pays de Charleroi (Charleroi)

Referee: Visser L. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	Sporza, Sporza
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Charleroi		Genk

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.5	2.55	Watch
	2.6	3.5	2.55	Watch
	2.7	3.65	2.64
	2.57	3.64	2.57
	2.5	3.3	2.5
	2.63	3.53	2.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.81)	3.52 ↑ (3.44)	2.57 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charleroi
36.5%

Draw
26.8%

Genk
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

27.4%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

28.1%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Genk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Charleroi - Genk Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Genk will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Genk (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Genk (1.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Genk (1.48) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Genk (1.84) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Genk (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Kone M. (G) 27. Blum L. 4. Ousou A. (C) 95. Keita C. 24. Nzita M. 5. Camara E. 40. Khalifi Y. 3. Van Den Kerkhof K. 8. Romsaas J. 17. Bernier A. 21. Scheidler A.	28. Brughmans L. (G) 77. El Ouahdi Z. 6. Smets M. 44. Kongolo J. 18. Kayembe J. 21. Bangoura I. 8. Heynen B. (C) 10. Ito J. 38. Heymans D. 32. Adedeji-Sternberg N. 23. Bibout A.
Substitutes
56. Boukamir A. 32. Boukamir M. 25. Colassin A. 55. Delavallee M. (G) 23. Gaudin J. 10. Guiagon P. 14. Pflucke P. 9. Szymczak F. 22. Titraoui Y.	99. Erabi J. 20. Karetsas K. 29. Mirisola R. 27. Nkuba K. 3. Sadick M. 24. Sattlberger N. 14. Sor Y. 7. Steuckers J. 1. Van Crombrugge H. (G) 30. Yokoyama A.
Coaches
Kohnen M.	Hayen N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, Van Den Kerkhof K. ⚽, Scheidler A. (A),
58', Bernier A. 🟨,
60', Bibout A. ↓, Mirisola R. ↑,
60', Adedeji-Sternberg N. ↓, Karetsas K. ↑,
60', Heymans D. ↓, Yokoyama A. ↑,
62', Blum L. ↓, Guiagon P. ↑,
62', Camara E. ↓, Titraoui Y. ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Guiagon P. (Penalty Awarded),
76', Bernier A. ↓, Pflucke P. ↑,
77', Romsaas J. ↓, Boukamir M. ↑,
82', Ito J. ↓, Sor Y. ↑,
82', Heynen B. ↓, Sattlberger N. ↑,
85', Guiagon P. 🟨,
90+3', Nzita M. ↓, Gaudin J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 1.

In recent matches, Charleroi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Genk is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Charleroi: Boukamir A. (Inactive) Sow M. (Inactive) Titraoui Y. (Inactive)

There will not play in Genk: Lawal T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Genk: Karetsas K. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:36. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Charleroi won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.4:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Charleroi	7	6	0	1	15:7	8	18
6	Genk	8	3	3	2	16:12	4	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Charleroi
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
25.04.26	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Charleroi	0:2 ✺
21.04.26	Genk - Charleroi	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Charleroi - Standard Liège	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	Charleroi - Royal Antwerp	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Westerlo - Charleroi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTLWL
- Racing Genk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
25.04.26	Genk - Standard Liège	1:1 ✺
21.04.26	Genk - Charleroi	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Westerlo - Genk	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Genk - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	Royal Antwerp - Genk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
21.04.26	Genk - Charleroi	1:1
19.12.25	Charleroi - Genk	2:2
17.09.25	Genk - Charleroi	0:1
28.02.25	Charleroi - Genk	1:1
23.11.24	Genk - Charleroi	3:0
Club Friendly
06.07.24	Genk - Charleroi	3:3
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
23.02.24	Charleroi - Genk	0:1

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