Match Info

BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League - Relegation Group - Round 31

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade du Pays de Charleroi (Charleroi)

Referee: De Cremer W. (Bel)


	Charleroi		RWDM Brussels

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.78	3.5	4.6
	1.75	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.8	3.52	4.92
	1.81	3.52	4.92
	1.65	3.9	4.75
	1.77	3.66	4.78
	1.73	3.3	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.68)	3.55 ↓ (3.93)	4.72 ↓ (4.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charleroi
53.5%

Draw
26.5%

RWDM Brussels
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

24.2%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

19%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charleroi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

RWDM Brussels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Charleroi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RWDM Brussels than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	18.2%	9.1%

Charleroi - RWDM Brussels Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Charleroi will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). RWDM Brussels will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Charleroi: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Koffi H. (G) 6. Zorgane A. (C) 37. Dari A. 21. Andreou S. 98. Petris J. 18. Heymans D. 17. Bernier A. 5. Camara E. 15. Dragsnes V. 9. Dabbagh O. 8. Guiagon P.	28. Hubert G. (G) 43. Sousa 34. Makosso C. 26. Abner 17. Camara I. 6. Dwomoh P. 30. Mercier X. 21. Sambu M. 7. Biron M. 27. Rikelmi 89. Carlos Alberto
Substitutes
10. Badji Y. 2. Bager J. 56. Boukamir A. 32. Boukamir M. 55. Delavalee M. (G) 26. Ilaimaharitra M. 29. Rogelj Z. 19. Stulic N. 80. Sylla Y.	8. Abe S. 11. Adaramola T. 33. Defourny T. (G) 32. Doudaev D. R. 10. Ebiowei M. 47. Mboup P. 80. Segovia M. 22. Soelle F. 55. Vandendaele M.
Coaches
De Mil R.	Ferrera Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Biron M. 🟨,
20', Guiagon P. 🟨,
45+2', Abner 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Biron M. (Pen),
64', Dabbagh O. ↓, Badji Y. ↑,
65', Zorgane A. ↓, Ilaimaharitra M. ↑,
67', Dwomoh P. 🟨,
69', Mercier X. ↓, Abe S. ↑,
69', Carlos Alberto ↓, Adaramola T. ↑,
76', Bernier A. ↓, Rogelj Z. ↑,
78', Makosso C. 🟨,
78', Camara I. ↓, Mboup P. ↑,
79', Dwomoh P. ↓, Ebiowei M. ↑,
90+1', Abner ↓, Soelle F. ↑,
90+2', Petris J. ↓, Stulic N. ↑,
90+2', Heymans D. ↓, Sylla Y. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Charleroi is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

RWDM47 has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Charleroi is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Charleroi won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Charleroi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Charleroi
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
17.03.24	Gent - Charleroi	5:0 ✺
09.03.24	Charleroi - Cercle Brugge	0:0 ✺
01.03.24	Westerlo - Charleroi	0:1 ✺
23.02.24	Charleroi - Genk	0:1 ✺
17.02.24	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Charleroi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LTWLT
- RWDM Brussels
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
17.03.24	Cercle Brugge - RWDM Brussels	4:0 ✺
09.03.24	RWDM Brussels - Anderlecht	0:3 ✺
03.03.24	Kortrijk - RWDM Brussels	3:2 ✺
24.02.24	RWDM Brussels - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Genk - RWDM Brussels	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
02.12.23	RWDM Brussels - Charleroi	0:0
06.10.23	Charleroi - RWDM Brussels	2:1

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