Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Conference League Group - Round 35

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Den Dreef (Heverlee) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Letellier A. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belgium	16:00	DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza


	Oud-Heverlee Leuven		Charleroi

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.25	2.5	Watch
	2.9	3.5	2.35
	2.68	3.2	2.62
	2.72	3.36	2.73
	2.67	3.28	2.67	Watch
	2.63	3.1	2.5
	2.74	3.26	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (2.83)	3.28 ↓ (3.5)	2.58 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oud-Heverlee Leuven
34.8%

Draw
28.7%

Charleroi
36.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.7%

27.3%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

28.3%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oud-Heverlee Leuven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Charleroi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Oud Heverlee Leuven - Charleroi Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Leuven will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Charleroi will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leysen T. (G) 28. Pletinckx E. 34. Nyakossi R. 5. Ominami T. 77. Vlietinck T. 48. Kayo B. 8. Schrijvers S. (C) 14. Teklab H. 7. Verlinden T. 39. Kaba S. 10. Maziz Y.	30. Kone M. (G) 27. Blum L. 4. Ousou A. (C) 95. Keita C. 24. Nzita M. 5. Camara E. 40. Khalifi Y. 3. Van Den Kerkhof K. 14. Pflucke P. 17. Bernier A. 25. Colassin A.
Substitutes
30. Akimoto T. 21. Balikwisha W. 6. George W. 27. Gil O. 19. Ikwuemesi C. 24. Lakomy L. 33. Maertens M. 16. Prevot M. (G) 17. Vaesen K.	43. Benaets Q. 32. Boukamir M. 45. Cisse Y. 55. Delavallee M. (G) 23. Gaudin J. 77. Noto M. 8. Romsaas J. 21. Scheidler A. 9. Szymczak F.
Coaches
Mazzu F.	Kohnen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Kaba S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Vlietinck T. ↓, Gil O. ↑,
46', Kayo B. ↓, Lakomy L. ↑,
53', 0 - 1, Bernier A. ⚽, Van Den Kerkhof K. (A),
59', Pflucke P. ↓, Romsaas J. ↑,
59', Colassin A. ↓, Scheidler A. ↑,
69', 0 - 2, Scheidler A. ⚽, Van Den Kerkhof K. (A),
77', Kaba S. ↓, Ikwuemesi C. ↑,
77', Verlinden T. ↓, Maertens M. ↑,
77', Maziz Y. ↓, Vaesen K. ↑,
80', Bernier A. ↓, Cisse Y. ↑,
80', Schrijvers S. 🟨,
86', Van Den Kerkhof K. ↓, Boukamir M. ↑,
86', Khalifi Y. ↓, Gaudin J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leuven won 2.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Charleroi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Charleroi: Guiagon P. (Inactive) Titraoui Y. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Leuven: Dussenne N. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leuven won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:17. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Leuven won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.2:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Charleroi	8	7	0	1	16:7	9	21
15	Leuven	8	1	2	5	6:14	-8	5

Outrights of Belgian Jupiler Pro League for now

Charleroi: 7.75% Leuven: 0.64%

Last Results with these Odds

Oud-Heverlee Leuven - the odds 2.83 are the expected chance of winning is 33.74%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
21.04.26	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Westerlo	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Royal Antwerp - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Genk - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège	1:3 ✺
22.03.26	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Royal Antwerp	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLTLW
- SC Charleroi
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
21.04.26	Genk - Charleroi	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Charleroi - Standard Liège	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	Charleroi - Royal Antwerp	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Westerlo - Charleroi	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Zulte Waregem - Charleroi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
14.03.26	Charleroi - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	0:2
27.07.25	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Charleroi	2:2
24.05.25	Charleroi - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2:1
28.03.25	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Charleroi	0:0
14.12.24	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Charleroi	1:0
26.10.24	Charleroi - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	0:2
17.02.24	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Charleroi	0:0

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