Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 7

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade du Pays de Charleroi (Charleroi)

Referee: Letellier A. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza


	Charleroi		Cercle Brugge

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.70	4.75	Watch
	1.63	4.10	5.00
	1.61	4.10	4.90	Watch
	1.67	4.13	5.30
	1.68	4.1	4.68	Watch
	1.64	4.05	5.10
	1.74	3.91	4.78	Watch
	1.63	4.00	4.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.92)	4.01 ↑ (3.81)	4.91 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charleroi
57.2%

Draw
23.6%

Cercle Brugge
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

24.7%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

25%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Charleroi's performance.

Cercle Brugge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cercle Brugge might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Charleroi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cercle Brugge than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cercle Brugge could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Charleroi - Cercle Brugge Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Charleroi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Cercle Brugge (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Charleroi (1.67) (votes: 89%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Charleroi will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Charleroi (votes: 1 - 50%). Cercle Brugge (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Kone M. (G) 3. Van Den Kerkhof K. 4. Ousou A. (C) 95. Keita C. 24. Nzita M. 18. Khalifi Y. 6. Boukamir A. 14. Pflucke P. 8. Romsaas J. 20. Mbemba F. 21. Scheidler A.	1. Coucke G. (G) 8. Erick Nunes 2. Diakite I. 24. Kondo G. (C) 33. Caicedo R. 12. Konate V. 10. Amani L. 42. Mondele L. 15. Magnee G. 13. Vanzeir D. 41. Kouassi K.
Substitutes
9. Bojang A. 19. Cisse I. 25. Colassin A. 1. Delavallee M. (G) 51. Kera M. 13. Nawata G. 2. Rowe T. 33. Solheid N. 44. Sow M.	30. Akinsola T. 5. Kakou E. 21. Lienard Y. (G) 71. Martens V. 22. Michal L. 9. Ngoura S. 7. Ouattara A. K. 28. van der Bruggen H. 3. Yago Lincoln
Coaches
Kohnen M.	Friis L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Mbemba F. ⚽, Romsaas J. (A),
25', 2 - 0, Scheidler A. ⚽, Pflucke P. (A),
30', 2 - 1, Vanzeir D. ⚽, Erick Nunes (A),
34', Erick Nunes ↓, Martens V. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Vanzeir D. ↓, Ngoura S. ↑,
58', Amani L. ↓, Akinsola T. ↑,
61', 3 - 1, Scheidler A. (Penalty Awarded),
62', Pflucke P. ↓, Nawata G. ↑,
73', 3 - 2, Ngoura S. (Penalty Awarded),
74', Boukamir A. ↓, Cisse I. ↑,
74', Nzita M. ↓, Rowe T. ↑,
81', Scheidler A. ↓, Sow M. ↑,
81', Mbemba F. ↓, Bojang A. ↑,
81', Kouassi K. ↓, Michal L. ↑,
81', Mondele L. ↓, van der Bruggen H. ↑,
82', Diakite I. 🟨,
82', Khalifi Y. 🟨,
90', Kohnen M. 🟨,
90+2', Ousou A. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 4th in the Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 15th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 1.

Charleroi has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Cercle Brugge is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Charleroi for this game.

Confirmed absences for Charleroi: Bernier A. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for Cercle Brugge: Adaramola T. (Inactive) Herrmann C. (Muscle Injury) Manneh A. (Inactive) Ndala J. (Knee Injury).

Our forecast points to a victory for Charleroi in today's match, at odds of 1.78.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Charleroi has recorded 10 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 37:29 (averaging 1.9:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Charleroi against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 20:9 goals (averaging 2.2:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Charleroi	7	6	0	1	15:7	8	18
17	Cercle Brugge KSV	8	0	3	5	9:16	-7	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Charleroi
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
13.09.26	Zulte Waregem - Charleroi	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Charleroi - Saint-Gilloise	2:3 ✺
29.08.26	Kortrijk - Charleroi	1:3 ✺
22.08.26	Charleroi - KV Mechelen	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Lommel - Charleroi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLWWW
- Cercle Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
12.09.26	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Cercle Brugge	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Cercle Brugge - Gent	0:3 ✺
29.08.26	Cercle Brugge - Lommel	0:1 ✺
23.08.26	Club Brugge - Cercle Brugge	1:0 ✺
14.08.26	Cercle Brugge - Sint-Truidense	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
07.02.26	Charleroi - Cercle Brugge	3:4
14.09.25	Cercle Brugge - Charleroi	2:3
25.01.25	Charleroi - Cercle Brugge	1:1
03.11.24	Cercle Brugge - Charleroi	2:0
09.03.24	Charleroi - Cercle Brugge	0:0
05.08.23	Cercle Brugge - Charleroi	2:0
15.01.23	Charleroi - Cercle Brugge	2:1

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