Match Info

BELGIUM: JUPILER PRO LEAGUE - ROUND 25

Date: 11 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade du Pays de Charleroi (Charleroi)

Referee: Lardot J. (Bel)


	Charleroi		Seraing

	1	X	2
	1.45	4	6	Watch
	1.55	4.2	6.25
	1.54	4.2	6.1
	1.57	3.75	5.2
	1.51	4.42	6.63
	1.5	4.3	6.3	Watch
	1.51	4.3	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.6)	4.17 ↑ (3.86)	6.1 ↑ (5.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charleroi
62%

Draw
22.6%

Seraing
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

24.2%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

24%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Seraing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seraing than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Charleroi - Seraing Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Charleroi will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Seraing will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Charleroi: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Challenger Pro League).

Charleroi has the most likely position - 12 (27.26%), has project points - 44, has currently - 28, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Seraing has the most likely position - 18 (41.62%), has project points - 26, has currently - 18, has a good chance of relegated (88%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 30, small importance 20, small match rating 25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Charleroi is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Seraing is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Charleroi is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Charleroi: Benbouali N. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Seraing: Ba A. (Muscle Injury) Galje T. (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Charleroi won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Charleroi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Charleroi
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
05.02.23	KV Mechelen - Charleroi	2:2 ✺
28.01.23	Charleroi - Saint-Gilloise	0:1 ✺
22.01.23	Club Brugge - Charleroi	2:2 ✺
19.01.23	Gent - Charleroi	0:0 ✺
15.01.23	Charleroi - Cercle Brugge	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 TLTTW
- RFC Seraing
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
04.02.23	Seraing - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2:1 ✺
29.01.23	Genk - Seraing	4:0 ✺
22.01.23	Seraing - Anderlecht	0:1 ✺
18.01.23	Kortrijk - Seraing	3:2 ✺
14.01.23	Seraing - Standard Liège	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Cup
08.11.22	Seraing - Charleroi	4:1 ET
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
13.08.22	Seraing - Charleroi	0:1
04.02.22	Charleroi - Seraing	2:0
22.10.21	Seraing - Charleroi	1:3

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