Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 17

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Achter de Kazerne (Mechelen)

Referee: Laforge N. (Bel)


	KV Mechelen		Charleroi

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.2	2.25	Watch
	3.15	3.2	2.3	Watch
	3.27	3.33	2.36
	3.22	3.29	2.28	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.3
	3.16	3.32	2.42	Watch
	3.25	3.2	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.8)	3.23 ↓ (3.3)	2.31 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KV Mechelen
29.7%

Draw
29.3%

Charleroi
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

28%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

28.1%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	42.9%	28.6%

KV Mechelen - Charleroi Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Mechelen will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Charleroi will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Miras N. (G) 33. St. Jago T. 8. Konate M. 18. Struyf I. 7. Koudou T. 17. Servais M. 6. Hammar F. (C) 19. Mrabti K. 9. van Brederode M. 20. Lauberbach L. 29. Salifou D.	30. Kone M. (G) 27. Blum L. 4. Ousou A. (C) 95. Keita C. 24. Nzita M. 22. Titraoui Y. 5. Camara E. 17. Bernier A. 14. Pflucke P. 10. Guiagon P. 21. Scheidler A.
Substitutes
38. Antonio B. 11. Bafdili B. 12. Bande H. 39. Decoene M. 4. Diouf G. 21. Ozdemir H. 14. Raman B. 15. Van Ingelgom T. (G) 23. Zekri M.	56. Boukamir A. 32. Boukamir M. 25. Colassin A. 55. Delavallee M. (G) 23. Gaudin J. 40. Khalifi Y. 7. Mbenza I. 8. Romsaas J. 9. Szymczak F.
Coaches
Vanderbiest F.	De Mil R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Koudou T. ⚽, Mrabti K. (A),
29', Struyf I. 🟨,
35', Mrabti K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bernier A. ↓, Boukamir M. ↑,
46', Guiagon P. ↓, Szymczak F. ↑,
65', Mrabti K. ↓, Bafdili B. ↑,
68', Struyf I. ↓, Diouf G. ↑,
69', Salifou D. ↓, Zekri M. ↑,
69', Pflucke P. ↓, Romsaas J. ↑,
70', van Brederode M. 🟨,
77', Camara E. ↓, Colassin A. ↑,
77', Keita C. ↓, Gaudin J. ↑,
84', Scheidler A. 🟨,
85', van Brederode M. ↓, Raman B. ↑,
89', Koudou T. 🟨,
90+4', Szymczak F. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 2.

Mechelen has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Charleroi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Charleroi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Mechelen: De Wolf O. (Knee Injury) Halhal R. (Ankle Injury) Kiki (Surgery) Kireev M. (Muscle Injury) Ozdemir H. (Collarbone injury) Teague R. (Knock)

There will not play in Charleroi: Defourny T. (Inactive) Sow M. (Knock) Van Den Kerkhof K. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:28. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Mechelen won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 2:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KV Mechelen
Belgian Cup
04.12.25	Charleroi - KV Mechelen	2:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
28.11.25	KV Mechelen - Standard Liège	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Genk - KV Mechelen	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	KV Mechelen - Saint-Gilloise	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Anderlecht - KV Mechelen	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LLWTL
- SC Charleroi
Belgian Cup
04.12.25	Charleroi - KV Mechelen	2:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
29.11.25	Charleroi - RAAL La Louvière	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Club Brugge - Charleroi	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Charleroi - Westerlo	2:0 ✺
31.10.25	Standard Liège - Charleroi	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Cup
04.12.25	Charleroi - KV Mechelen	2:0
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
28.09.25	Charleroi - KV Mechelen	0:2
18.05.25	KV Mechelen - Charleroi	1:1
19.04.25	Charleroi - KV Mechelen	3:0
08.03.25	Charleroi - KV Mechelen	0:1
31.08.24	KV Mechelen - Charleroi	5:2
27.12.23	Charleroi - KV Mechelen	3:1

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