Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Conference League Group - Round 33

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade du Pays de Charleroi (Charleroi) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Van Driessche B. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belgium	18:15	Sporza, Sporza


	Charleroi		Standard Liège

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.5	Watch
	1.88	3.5	4.1	Watch
	2.08	3.45	3.95
	2.05	3.38	3.72	Watch
	1.8	3.4	4
	2.07	3.42	3.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.85)	3.39 ↓ (3.54)	3.87 ↓ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charleroi
47.7%

Draw
27.9%

Standard Liège
24.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.8%

26.6%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

28.1%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charleroi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Standard Liège has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Charleroi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	10%	30%

Charleroi - Standard Liège Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Charleroi will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Standard will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Charleroi: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Kone M. (G) 27. Blum L. 4. Ousou A. (C) 95. Keita C. 24. Nzita M. 5. Camara E. 56. Boukamir A. 3. Van Den Kerkhof K. 14. Pflucke P. 17. Bernier A. 25. Colassin A.	1. Epolo M. (C) 25. Hautekiet I. 4. Bates D. 24. Homawoo J. 18. Lawrence H. 94. Nielsen C. 23. Ilaimaharitra M. 3. Mortensen G. 11. Abid A. 10. Eckert Ayensa D. 17. Said R.
Substitutes
43. Benaets Q. 32. Boukamir M. 45. Cisse Y. 55. Delavallee M. (G) 23. Gaudin J. 40. Khalifi Y. 8. Romsaas J. 21. Scheidler A. 9. Szymczak F.	53. Assengue S. 29. Dierckx D. 20. Karamoko I. 8. Mehssatou Sepulveda N. 19. Mitongo R. 7. Mohr T. 26. Nguene B. 59. Nkada T. 21. Pirard L. (G)
Coaches
Kohnen M.	Euvrard V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Ilaimaharitra M. ↓, Karamoko I. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', Ousou A. 🟨,
50', Nzita M. 🟨,
54', Camara E. 🟨,
60', Colassin A. ↓, Scheidler A. ↑,
62', 1 - 0, Bernier A. ⚽, Pflucke P. (A),
67', Eckert Ayensa D. ↓, Nkada T. ↑,
67', Said R. ↓, Nguene B. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Nguene B. ⚽, Abid A. (A),
71', Camara E. ↓, Khalifi Y. ↑,
76', Blum L. 🟨,
84', Blum L. ↓, Cisse Y. ↑,
84', Pflucke P. ↓, Romsaas J. ↑,
86', Mortensen G. ↓, Mohr T. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 2, Mohr T. ⚽,
90+5', Nielsen C. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 3.

Charleroi is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Standard's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Charleroi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Charleroi is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Charleroi: Sow M. (Injury)

There will not play in Standard: Assengue S. (Muscle Injury) Epolo M. (Injury) Fossey M. (Hamstring Injury) Homawoo J. (Red Card) Karamoko I. (Injury) Teuma T. (Calf Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Charleroi won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 0.8:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Charleroi	8	7	0	1	16:7	9	21
9	St. Liege	8	3	2	3	13:13	0	11

Outrights of Belgian Jupiler Pro League for now

Charleroi: 8.23% St. Liege: 1.58%

Last Results with these Odds

Charleroi - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50.84%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Standard Liège - the odds 4.18 are the expected chance of winning is 22.53%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Charleroi
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
10.04.26	Charleroi - Royal Antwerp	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Westerlo - Charleroi	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Zulte Waregem - Charleroi	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Charleroi - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Dender EH - Charleroi	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLLT
- Standard Liège
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
11.04.26	Standard Liège - Westerlo	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège	1:3 ✺
22.03.26	Standard Liège - Westerlo	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Royal Antwerp - Standard Liège	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Zulte Waregem - Standard Liège	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
18.01.26	Charleroi - Standard Liège	2:0
31.10.25	Standard Liège - Charleroi	3:1
04.05.25	Standard Liège - Charleroi	0:1
06.04.25	Charleroi - Standard Liège	1:0
30.11.24	Charleroi - Standard Liège	1:1
20.10.24	Standard Liège - Charleroi	2:1
16.12.23	Standard Liège - Charleroi	0:0

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